Match Info

CFL

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Commonwealth Stadium (Edmonton, AB)


	Edmonton Elks		Calgary Stampeders

	1	2
	1.5	2.5
	1.58	2.38
	1.56	2.55
	1.53	2.37	Watch
	1.54	2.5
	1.54	2.55
	1.59	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.43)	2.45 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edmonton Elks
61.2%

Calgary Stampeders
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edmonton Elks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Calgary Stampeders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edmonton Elks than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calgary Stampeders than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Edmonton Elks - Calgary Stampeders Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:29

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Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CFL (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Edmonton won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Edmonton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Edmonton might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Edmonton will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Edmonton won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 430:571. (average 21.5:28.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Edmonton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 195:306. (average 19.5:30.6).

Outrights of CFL for now

Edmonton Elks: 20.69% Calgary Stampeders: 4.24%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edmonton Elks
CFL
07.09.26	Calgary Stampeders - Edmonton Elks	28:38 ✺
21.08.26	Edmonton Elks - Winnipeg Blue Bombers	22:19 ✺
15.08.26	Edmonton Elks - Toronto Argonauts	42:12 ✺
08.08.26	Montreal Alouettes - Edmonton Elks	48:30 ✺
01.08.26	Edmonton Elks - Saskatchewan Roughriders	26:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWLL
- Calgary Stampeders
CFL
07.09.26	Calgary Stampeders - Edmonton Elks	28:38 ✺
29.08.26	Calgary Stampeders - Hamilton Tiger Cats	28:23 ✺
13.08.26	Calgary Stampeders - BC Lions	26:30 ✺
06.08.26	Toronto Argonauts - Calgary Stampeders	33:30 ✺
01.08.26	Hamilton Tiger Cats - Calgary Stampeders	20:44 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

CFL
07.09.26	Calgary Stampeders - Edmonton Elks	28:38
29.05.26	Edmonton Elks - Calgary Stampeders	18:21
24.10.25	Edmonton Elks - Calgary Stampeders	10:20
06.09.25	Edmonton Elks - Calgary Stampeders	31:19
01.09.25	Calgary Stampeders - Edmonton Elks	28:7
24.05.25	Calgary Stampeders - Edmonton Elks	31:4
12.10.24	Calgary Stampeders - Edmonton Elks	18:23

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