Match Info

Herre Handbold Ligaen - Round 5

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport


	Bjerringbro SV		Aalborg

	1	X	2
	5	10	1.32
	4.33	9.75	1.30
	4.6	10	1.28
	4.94	8.4	1.3	Watch
	4.1	10	1.28
	4.43	10.7	1.31
	4.5	12	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.56 ↓ (4.7)	10.12 ↑ (10.04)	1.3 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bjerringbro SV
20.2%

Draw
9.1%

Aalborg
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

9.2%

71.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

9.1%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bjerringbro SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Aalborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bjerringbro SV than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalborg than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Bjerringbro SV - Aalborg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:34

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bjerringbro won 1.

Recent performances by Bjerringbro have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aalborg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aalborg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Aalborg is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bjerringbro won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 574:637. (average 28.7:31.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Bjerringbro won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 281:313. (average 28.1:31.3).

Outrights of Danish Handbold Ligaen for now

Bjerringbro/Silkeborg: 2.64%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
3	Aalborg	9	6	1	2	286:280	13
6	Bjerringbro/Silkeborg	8	4	1	3	252:253	9

Last Results with these Odds

Aalborg - the odds 1.3 are the expected chance of winning is 71.06%, but this team recently wins 92% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bjerringbro SV
Danish Handbold Ligaen
07.09.26	Bjerringbro SV - Fredericia	28:26 ✺
03.09.26	Sønderjysk Elite - Bjerringbro SV	28:33 ✺
30.08.26	Bjerringbro SV - Nordsjælland	32:33 ✺
27.08.26	Tvis Holstebro - Bjerringbro SV	37:33 ✺
Club Friendly Hanbdall
07.08.26	Bjerringbro SV - Ribe-Esbjerg	31:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLL
- Aalborg Håndbold
EHF Champions League
09.09.26	Aalborg - Paris Saint-Germain	33:33 ✺
Danish Handbold Ligaen
05.09.26	Skjern - Aalborg	30:33 ✺
02.09.26	Aalborg - Fredericia	26:33 ✺
30.08.26	Aalborg - Tvis Holstebro	31:29 ✺
26.08.26	Sønderjysk Elite - Aalborg	28:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish Handbold Ligaen
25.03.26	Bjerringbro SV - Aalborg	38:37
16.11.25	Aalborg - Bjerringbro SV	35:29
Danish Cup Handball
16.02.25	Aalborg - Bjerringbro SV	34:29
Danish Handbold Ligaen
08.02.25	Bjerringbro SV - Aalborg	26:29
02.10.24	Aalborg - Bjerringbro SV	38:28
05.05.24	Aalborg - Bjerringbro SV	31:31
13.04.24	Bjerringbro SV - Aalborg	22:33

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