Match Info

Starligue - Round 5

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday


	Caen		Saint-Raphael

	1	X	2
	2.8	8	1.72
	2.65	7.00	1.68
	2.73	7.75	1.67
	2.68	7.4	1.71	Watch
	2.6	7.55	1.66
	2.58	8.8	1.72	Watch
	2.75	8.2	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 (2.68)	7.81 ↓ (8.1)	1.7 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caen
34.2%

Draw
11.7%

Saint-Raphael
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

11.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Saint-Raphael has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Caen - Saint Raphael Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:32

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Preview

In recent outings, Caen has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Saint-Raphael is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Saint-Raphael may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Saint-Raphael is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
9	Caen	5	3	0	2	139:155	6
12	St. Raphael	6	2	0	4	176:190	4

Last Results with these Odds

Saint-Raphael - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 54.81%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caen Handball
French Starligue Handball
25.09.26	Pays dAix - Caen	32:25 ✺
18.09.26	Caen - Limoges	23:38 ✺
11.09.26	Fenix Toulouse - Caen	31:32 ✺
06.09.26	Caen - Dunkerque	26:24 ✺
Coupe de France Handball
30.08.26	Pontault-Combault - Caen	30:28
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LLWWL
- Saint-Raphael Var HB
EHF European League
29.09.26	Nexe - Saint-Raphael	33:26 ✺
French Starligue Handball
25.09.26	Saint-Raphael - Saran Loiret	22:26 ✺
18.09.26	Tremblay - Saint-Raphael	36:30 ✺
11.09.26	Saint-Raphael - Dunkerque	26:25 ✺
04.09.26	Limoges - Saint-Raphael	36:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL

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