Match Info

Starligue - Round 22

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports 3


	Chartres		Fenix Toulouse

	1	X	2
	3.3	8.5	1.55
	3.15	9.4	1.48	Watch
	3.5	7.97	1.47	Watch
	3.2	8	1.44
	3.23	9.4	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.37)	8.65 ↓ (9.14)	1.49 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chartres
27.9%

Draw
10.6%

Fenix Toulouse
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

10%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

10.9%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chartres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chartres's form might have worsened.

Fenix Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fenix Toulouse's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chartres than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chartres, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenix Toulouse than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fenix Toulouse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Chartres - Fenix Toulouse Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:31

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chartres won 0.

Chartres is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Toulouse has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Toulouse is a strong favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Chartres won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 475:527. (average 27.9:31).

Including home matches between the teams, Chartres won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 213:235. (average 26.6:29.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
10	Chartres	6	2	1	3	177:199	5
13	Toulouse	5	2	0	3	140:141	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chartres Métropole Handball 28
French Starligue Handball
27.03.26	Montpellier HB - Chartres	37:30 ✺
13.03.26	Chartres - Pays dAix	30:30 ✺
27.02.26	Istres OPH - Chartres	26:28 ✺
21.02.26	Dunkerque - Chartres	25:24 ✺
14.02.26	Chartres - Selestat AHB	33:39 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTWLL
- Fenix Toulouse
French Starligue Handball
27.03.26	Fenix Toulouse - Limoges	31:37 ✺
15.03.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Fenix Toulouse	39:21 ✺
05.03.26	Dunkerque - Fenix Toulouse	27:31 ✺
26.02.26	Fenix Toulouse - Selestat AHB	38:32 ✺
20.02.26	Fenix Toulouse - Chambery SH	30:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

French Starligue Handball
19.09.25	Fenix Toulouse - Chartres	41:29
08.03.25	Fenix Toulouse - Chartres	31:30
25.10.24	Chartres - Fenix Toulouse	27:31
03.05.24	Chartres - Fenix Toulouse	31:34
Coupe de France Handball
12.12.23	Chartres - Fenix Toulouse	27:33
French Starligue Handball
29.09.23	Fenix Toulouse - Chartres	33:30
13.04.23	Fenix Toulouse - Chartres	39:32

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