Match Info

Starligue - Round 26

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Dunkerque		Saint-Raphael

	1	X	2
	2.25	7.5	2
	2.19	7.6	1.96	Watch
	2.23	6.96	1.98	Watch
	2.2	7.5	1.91
	2.19	8.6	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.96)	7.63 ↓ (7.81)	1.96 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunkerque
41.3%

Draw
12%

Saint-Raphael
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

11.7%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

11.5%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dunkerque's form might have worsened.

Saint-Raphael has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint-Raphael's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Raphael than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	4.8%	95.2%

Dunkerque - Saint Raphael Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Saint-Raphael will win (votes: 20 - 95.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saint-Raphael: 86.1% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Saint-Raphael will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:32

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 2.

Dunkerque is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Saint-Raphael has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dunkerque may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 564:573. (average 28.2:28.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Dunkerque won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 261:250. (average 29:27.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
12	St. Raphael	6	2	0	4	176:190	4
16	Dunkerque	5	0	0	5	127:148	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dunkerque HB
French Starligue Handball
25.04.26	Chambery SH - Dunkerque	32:28 ✺
16.04.26	Dunkerque - Cesson Rennes Métropole	22:30 ✺
11.04.26	Montpellier HB - Dunkerque	38:27 ✺
03.04.26	Pays dAix - Dunkerque	33:22 ✺
27.03.26	Dunkerque - Dijon	32:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- Saint-Raphael Var HB
French Starligue Handball
26.04.26	Saint-Raphael - Selestat AHB	31:28 ✺
17.04.26	Pays dAix - Saint-Raphael	26:31 ✺
12.04.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Saint-Raphael	36:34 ✺
05.04.26	Saint-Raphael - Chambery SH	33:36 ✺
27.03.26	Istres OPH - Saint-Raphael	35:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Starligue Handball
06.12.25	Saint-Raphael - Dunkerque	35:27
08.03.25	Dunkerque - Saint-Raphael	30:37
16.11.24	Saint-Raphael - Dunkerque	27:29
03.05.24	Dunkerque - Saint-Raphael	37:33
07.10.23	Saint-Raphael - Dunkerque	38:38
06.06.23	Saint-Raphael - Dunkerque	39:29
10.11.22	Dunkerque - Saint-Raphael	31:29

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