Match Info

Starligue - Round 5

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports 2
Turkey	beIN Sports 4


	USAM Nimes		Pays dAix

	1	X	2
	1.88	8.00	2.50
	1.78	7.00	2.45
	1.67	9.00	2.70
	1.71	7.4	2.68
	1.80	7.75	2.45
	1.71	9.00	2.58	Watch
	1.76	8.00	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.75)	8.02 ↑ (7.99)	2.57 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.00

The most likely Handicap: (0)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USAM Nimes
52.6%

Draw
11.5%

Pays dAix
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

11.6%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

11.8%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USAM Nimes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Pays dAix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USAM Nimes than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Pays dAix aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

USAM Nimes - Pays dAix Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Nimes will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Pays dAix will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nimes: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pays dAix (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Nimes (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 - Pays dAix (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Nimes (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Pays dAix (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:31

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nimes won 1.

Nimes is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Pays dAix have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Nimes may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Nimes holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for Nimes in today's match, at odds of 1.61.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Nimes has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 558:580 (averaging 27.9:29 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nimes against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with 264:270 goals (averaging 29.3:30 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
3	Nimes	5	4	0	1	161:159	8
5	Provence Aix	6	3	0	3	194:189	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USAM Nimes
Coupe de France Handball
30.09.26	Sarrebourg - USAM Nimes	23:45
French Starligue Handball
25.09.26	USAM Nimes - Dunkerque	27:25 ✺
18.09.26	Saran Loiret - USAM Nimes	31:32 ✺
13.09.26	USAM Nimes - Montpellier HB	33:38 ✺
04.09.26	Cesson Rennes Métropole - USAM Nimes	32:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLW
- Pays dAix Handball
French Starligue Handball
25.09.26	Pays dAix - Caen	32:25 ✺
19.09.26	Cesson Rennes Métropole - Pays dAix	29:28 ✺
12.09.26	HBC Nantes - Pays dAix	38:28 ✺
05.09.26	Pays dAix - Selestat AHB	34:32 ✺
Coupe de France Handball
26.08.26	Pau Billère - Pays dAix	33:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Starligue Handball
10.04.26	USAM Nimes - Pays dAix	35:37
05.12.25	Pays dAix - USAM Nimes	32:26
30.05.25	Pays dAix - USAM Nimes	27:27
01.11.24	USAM Nimes - Pays dAix	27:29
23.02.24	Pays dAix - USAM Nimes	26:29
22.10.23	USAM Nimes - Pays dAix	31:32
11.02.23	Pays dAix - USAM Nimes	21:31

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