The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Valence 46.3%
Draw 11.7%
Creteil 42%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.4%
13.5%
39.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.6%
14%
40.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Creteil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valence than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Creteil than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Valence - Creteil Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:32
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Preview
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Creteil could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Valence has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 71:60 (averaging 35.5:30 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Valence against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 36:27 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
4
Creteil
9
6
0
0
3
276:270
12
7
Valence
9
3
1
1
4
305:302
9
Last Results with these Odds
Creteil - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.09%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.