Match Info

HockeyAllsvenskan

Date: 21 September 2026, Monday

Location: Hovet (Stockholm)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	AIK		Kalmar

	1	X	2
	1.76	4.50	3.50
	1.83	4.25	3.40
	1.74	4.00	4.10
	1.76	4.23	3.31
	1.77	4.43	3.59	Watch
	1.74	4.15	3.25
	1.75	4.25	3.56	Watch
	1.80	4.20	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.48)	4.25 ↑ (4)	3.51 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AIK
52.1%

Draw
21.7%

Kalmar
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

22.9%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

25.1%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AIK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AIK's performance.

Kalmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kalmar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AIK than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AIK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kalmar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

AIK - Kalmar Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. AIK will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Kalmar will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. AIK (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
88. Enroth J. (G)	36. Brochu B. (G)
6. Vainio O. (A)	84. Bergsland T.
8. Jonsson S.	15. Andersson J. (C)
71. Rolston R.	73. Johansson V. (A)
23. Vesel T. (A)	24. Ekmark E.
26. Nord O. (C)	78. Ihs Wozniak J.
Line 2
87. Schreiber M.	5. Aronsson T.
98. Theocharidis T.	25. Johansson K. (A)
12. Pooley S.	23. Vitelli R.
29. Ljungman D.	93. Limpar Lantz M.
78. Johansson O.	9. Klingsell V.
Line 3
33. Pethrus W. (A)	8. Felton C.
15. Gronlund A.	4. Tornqvist P.
13. Kopac B.	18. Linden J.
45. Boije S.	20. Smeds V.
25. Bengtsson C.	91. Westlin A.
Line 4
70. Isen E.	58. Jonasson H.
72. Lennartsson V.	29. Vesterlund V.
27. Bjork C.	11. Wigley M.
58. Magnusson O.	47. Ekefjard E.
Substitutes
30. Brattstrom V. (G)	68. Dunegard G.
	31. Malmqvist C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
06:12, 1 - 0, Kopac B. (G), Gronlund A. (A), Isen E. (A2)
18:03, 2 - 0, Pooley S. (G), Johansson O. (A),
18:18, 3 - 0, Nord O. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AIK won 1.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with AIK holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, AIK has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:37 (averaging 2.4:2.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for AIK against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 18:19 goals (averaging 2.6:2.7 per game).

Outrights of Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan for now

AIK: 22.68% Kalmar: 8.86%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	AIK	9	8	0	0	1	37:20	24
3	Kalmar	9	6	1	1	1	32:20	21

Last Results with these Odds

AIK - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.94%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AIK Hockey
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
18.09.26	AIK - Modo	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
09.09.26	AIK - BIK Karlskoga	5:2 ✺
04.09.26	AIK - Sparta Warriors	1:2 AET ✺
02.09.26	BIK Karlskoga - AIK	5:3 ✺
28.08.26	Almtuna IS - AIK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLLW
- Kalmar HC
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
18.09.26	BIK Karlskoga - Kalmar	3:4 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
11.09.26	Kalmar - Oskarshamn	4:2 ✺
04.09.26	Vimmerby - Kalmar	3:2 ✺
02.09.26	Oskarshamn - Kalmar	4:3 penalties ✺
26.08.26	Kalmar - Tingsryd	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
06.02.26	AIK - Kalmar	1:2
01.02.26	Kalmar - AIK	7:2
16.01.26	AIK - Kalmar	1:4
26.09.25	Kalmar - AIK	6:2
26.02.25	Kalmar - AIK	1:3
03.01.25	AIK - Kalmar	2:3
07.12.24	AIK - Kalmar	3:2

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