The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Acroni Jesenice 60.4%
Draw 18.8%
Cortina 20.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55.1%
19.9%
25%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
21%
26.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Acroni Jesenice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Acroni Jesenice's performance.
Cortina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acroni Jesenice than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Acroni Jesenice that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cortina than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cortina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Acroni Jesenice - Cortina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Ulcar M. (G)
36. Mantler I. (G)
19. Sojer T.
12. Panciera G.
8. Urukalo Z.
19. Kalajanniska O.
20. Koblar G.
23. Pompanin F.
18. Bizjak M.
15. Huhtanen E.
42. Sturm J.
26. Perino D.
Line 2
29. Magovac A.
47. Sukhytskyi S.
15. Slibar O.
34. Skok J.
55. Sabolic R.
21. Eruzione D.
70. Kapel R.
28. Alvera T.
22. Svetina E.
5. Sanna M.
Line 3
68. Wyatt J.
18. Constantini L.
69. Oblak M.
25. Steinwandter A.
71. Burgar N.
24. Barnabo L.
13. Leben Z.
76. Adami F.
77. Baloh D.
89. Talamini R.
Line 4
4. Zupancic A.
44. Mlakar T.
7. Marn V.
24. Berc M.
21. Zalokar G.
Substitutes
31. Dukaric J. (G)
97. Lacedelli G.
43. Pompanin A. (G)
65. Toffoli G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
11:47, 1 - 0, Magovac A. (G), Svetina E. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
04:02, 2 - 0, Leben Z. (G), Oblak M. (A),
05:42, 3 - 0, Jakupovic A. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Acroni Jesenice won 2.
Acroni Jesenice arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Cortina has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Acroni Jesenice is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Our forecast points to a victory for Acroni Jesenice in today's match, at odds of 1.81.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Acroni Jesenice has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 67:52 (averaging 3.4:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Acroni Jesenice against this opponent, the record stands at 10 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 47:17 goals (averaging 4.7:1.7 per game).