Match Info
AIHLDate: 9 August 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AIHL TV |
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Adelaide Adrenaline |
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Brisbane Lightning |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.18 |
5.25 |
2.18 |
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 |
2.33 |
5.60 |
2.10 |
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 |
2.16 |
4.79 |
2.31 |
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 |
2.2 |
5.39 |
2.33 |
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 |
2.13 |
4.70 |
2.25 |
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 |
2.15 |
5.00 |
2.26 |
 Watch |
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2.25 |
4.90 |
2.27 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(2.15) |
5.09 ↓
(6) |
2.24 ↑
(2.1) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 10.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Adelaide Adrenaline
41.4% | Draw
17.9% | Brisbane Lightning
40.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide Adrenaline has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Brisbane Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide Adrenaline than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lightning than the current prediction. (+0.8%)Adelaide Adrenaline - Brisbane Lightning Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:5 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (2 - 0)
- 01:26, 1 - 0, MacDougall J. (G), Song Y. (A),
- 03:59, 2 - 0, Johnson K. (G), Prevost C. (A),
- 2nd Period (1 - 3)
- 10:00, 3 - 0, Johnson K. (G), Benson N. (A),
- 13:33, 3 - 1, Hebert G. (G), Shankar Z. (A), Hopps T. (A2)
- 15:03, 3 - 2, Rapchuk A. (G), Rapchuk S. (A), Hodges B. (A2)
- 19:01, 3 - 3, Hopps T. (G), Shankar Z. (A), Hebert G. (A2)
- 3rd Period (3 - 4)
- 03:32, 3 - 4, Shankar Z. (G), Hebert G. (A),
- 03:55, 3 - 5, Gendunov B. (G), Walker E. (A), Rapchuk S. (A2)
- 08:19, 4 - 5, MacDougall J. (G), Johnson K. (A),
- 09:31, 4 - 6, Hodges B. (G), Rapchuk S. (A),
- 13:12, 5 - 6, Benson N. (G), Steele Z. (A), Prevost C. (A2)
- 13:34, 6 - 6, Benson N. (G), Johnson K. (A), Prevost C. (A2)
- 19:17, 6 - 7, Hodges B. (G), Hopps T. (A), Hebert G. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 2.The current form of both teams is below expectations.Adelaide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Brisbane has had a series of away games. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 49:60. (average 3.5:4.3).Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:29. (average 3.4:4.1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian Ice Hockey League | | | 08.08.26 | Adelaide Adrenaline - Brisbane Lightning | 6:7 AET | | 04.07.26 | Brisbane Lightning - Adelaide Adrenaline | 5:4 | | 27.07.25 | Brisbane Lightning - Adelaide Adrenaline | 3:7 | | 26.07.25 | Brisbane Lightning - Adelaide Adrenaline | 3:4 | | 06.07.25 | Adelaide Adrenaline - Brisbane Lightning | 2:4 | | 05.07.25 | Adelaide Adrenaline - Brisbane Lightning | 4:7 | | 04.08.24 | Brisbane Lightning - Adelaide Adrenaline | 2:1 penalties |
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