Match Info
AIHLDate: 12 July 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | AIHL TV |
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Adelaide Adrenaline |
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Melbourne Mustangs |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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6.75 |
8.25 |
1.19 |
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 |
9.9 |
7.35 |
1.14 |
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 |
6.74 |
7.14 |
1.23 |
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10.04 |
10.04 |
1.15 |
Watch |
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6.65 |
7.05 |
1.21 |
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9.9 |
8.9 |
1.12 |
Watch |
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7.6 |
7.8 |
1.2 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
8.23 ↑ (7.35) |
8.08 ↑ (7.75) |
1.18 ↓ (1.23) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 9.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Adelaide Adrenaline 11.1% | Draw 11.3% | Melbourne Mustangs 77.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide Adrenaline has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Melbourne Mustangs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Adelaide Adrenaline - Melbourne Mustangs Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Melbourne Mustangs will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:6 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (0 - 2)
- 08:15, 0 - 1, Caron P. (G), Giorgi M. (A), Gaeta D. (A2)
- 18:11, 0 - 2, Hughes J. (G), Timmins S. (A), Crane B. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 15:46, 0 - 3, Sasaki Y. (G), Burns C. (A), Sucher L. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 6)
- 01:56, 0 - 4, Gaeta D. (G), Lindal B. (A), Sucher L. (A2)
- 04:36, 0 - 5, Gaeta D. (G), Dorsey M. (A), Giorgi M. (A2)
- 09:35, 0 - 6, Gaeta D. (G), Dorsey M. (A), Lindal B. (A2)
- 11:24, 0 - 7, Sucher L. (G),
- 15:27, 0 - 8, Caron P. (G),
- 16:22, 0 - 9, Gaeta D. (G), Dorsey M. (A), Lindal B. (A2)
- 16:53, 1 - 9, Boyle Z. (G), Best S. (A), Benson N. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 1.Adelaide is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).Melbourne Mustangs is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Adelaide may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Melbourne Mustangs is the clear favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 50:106. (average 2.5:5.3).Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:55. (average 2.5:5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian Ice Hockey League | | | 11.07.26 | Adelaide Adrenaline - Melbourne Mustangs | 1:7 | | 30.05.26 | Melbourne Mustangs - Adelaide Adrenaline | 7:4 | | 20.07.25 | Adelaide Adrenaline - Melbourne Mustangs | 3:4 | | 19.07.25 | Adelaide Adrenaline - Melbourne Mustangs | 5:1 | | 29.06.25 | Melbourne Mustangs - Adelaide Adrenaline | 8:4 | | 28.06.25 | Melbourne Mustangs - Adelaide Adrenaline | 4:0 | | 24.05.24 | Melbourne Mustangs - Adelaide Adrenaline | 5:2 |
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