Match Info
AIHLDate: 25 July 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | AIHL TV |
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Melbourne Mustangs |
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Brisbane Lightning |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.03 |
13.50 |
15.00 |
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 |
1.07 |
15.00 |
16.00 |
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 |
1.07 |
11.65 |
14.35 |
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 |
1.04 |
17.42 |
17.92 |
Watch |
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1.06 |
11.00 |
14.00 |
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 |
1.02 |
15.50 |
15.50 |
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 |
1.05 |
14.00 |
15.00 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.05 ↑ (1.04) |
14.01 ↓ (15.93) |
15.4 ↓ (18.06) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 11.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Melbourne Mustangs 87.5% | Draw 6.5% | Brisbane Lightning 6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Brisbane Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Melbourne Mustangs - Brisbane Lightning Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +5.5 - Brisbane (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 7:4 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (3 - 2)
- 03:25, 0 - 1, Gumm Z. (G), Hoehe P. (A), Hebert G. (A2)
- 12:17, 1 - 1, Hughes J. (G), Crane B. (A), Timmins S. (A2)
- 13:32, 2 - 1, Crane B. (G), Caron P. (A),
- 16:08, 3 - 1, Crane B. (G), Klomp D. (A), Timmins S. (A2)
- 18:38, 3 - 2, Shankar Z. (G), Hebert G. (A),
- 2nd Period (4 - 1)
- 01:52, 4 - 2, Timmins S. (G), Crane B. (A), Caron P. (A2)
- 08:04, 5 - 2, Timmins S. (G), Giorgi M. (A), Giesbrecht N. (A2)
- 15:00, 6 - 2, Crane B. (G), Hughes J. (A), Timmins S. (A2)
- 17:13, 7 - 2, Lindal B. (G), Giorgi M. (A), Caron P. (A2)
- 18:48, 7 - 3, Ouimette L. (G), Rapchuk S. (A), Shankar Z. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 00:21, 8 - 3, Crane B. (G), Timmins S. (A), Hughes J. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Mustangs won 2.Melbourne Mustangs is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).Brisbane's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Brisbane may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Melbourne Mustangs is the clear favorite.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Mustangs won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 68:51. (average 5.7:4.3).Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Mustangs won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 36:19. (average 6:3.2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian Ice Hockey League | | | 21.06.26 | Brisbane Lightning - Melbourne Mustangs | 6:10 | | 20.06.26 | Brisbane Lightning - Melbourne Mustangs | 7:6 | | 02.08.25 | Melbourne Mustangs - Brisbane Lightning | 8:4 | | 08.06.25 | Brisbane Lightning - Melbourne Mustangs | 9:6 | | 07.06.25 | Brisbane Lightning - Melbourne Mustangs | 5:3 | | 13.04.25 | Melbourne Mustangs - Brisbane Lightning | 4:3 OT | | 01.06.24 | Brisbane Lightning - Melbourne Mustangs | 4:1 |
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