The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Almtuna IS 47.4%
Draw 21.7%
Vimmerby 30.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.9%
21.6%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
23.1%
29.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almtuna IS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Vimmerby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almtuna IS than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vimmerby than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Almtuna IS - Vimmerby Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Havelid H. (G)
31. Sorqvist I. (G)
3. Hammarlund E.
21. Bochen N.
33. Asplund O.
33. Hurtig A. (A)
23. Bartholdsson N.
81. Mornsjo J.
34. Sterner K.
36. Karlsson H.
96. Jarbsjo M.
67. Norback J.
Line 2
54. Wernquist N.
68. Westberg L.
9. Degnell E.
15. Lindgren O. (A)
8. Osmanis B.
96. Hellberg H.
29. Smith L.
23. Karlsson M.
13. Schlyter F. (C)
19. Carlsson A. (C)
Line 3
36. Lereback L. (A)
27. Alftberg W.
5. Proos A.
7. Malmkvist G.
22. Johansson V.
58. Lejon H.
92. Salonen S. (A)
22. Kangas G.
91. Vesterlund L. (A)
9. Carlsson K.
Line 4
16. Sundqvist L.
6. Hjalm A.
40. Ohlsson A.
29. Petersson A.
10. Forslund C.
48. Orrsten H.
18. Wennstrom K. (A)
Substitutes
1. Forslund T. (G)
24. Andersson L.
30. Ryden T. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
00:56, 0 - 1, Hellberg H. (G), Westberg L. (A), Karlsson M. (A2)
06:04, 1 - 1, Ohlsson A. (G), Salonen S. (A),
07:32, 1 - 2, Carlsson A. (G), Bochen N. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
06:46, 1 - 3, Carlsson K. (G), Lindgren O. (A), Westberg L. (A2)
10:01, 1 - 4, Wennstrom K. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
15:21, 1 - 5, Lejon H. (G), Kangas G. (A), Hjalm A. (A2)
17:40, 1 - 6, Kangas G. (G),
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 8th in the Promotion - HockeyAllsvenskan Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 13th in the HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almtuna won 4.
Almtuna is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Vimmerby has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Almtuna may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Almtuna holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Almtuna has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:25 (averaging 3.9:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Almtuna against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 16:10 goals (averaging 4:2.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
8
Almtuna
15
5
2
1
7
38:50
20
13
Vimmerby
14
2
2
2
8
38:52
12
Outrights of Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan for now
Almtuna: 1.67% Vimmerby: 0.56%
Last Results with these Odds
Vimmerby - the odds 3.37 are the expected chance of winning is 27.51%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.