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Current Win Probability
Vimmerby 36.3%
Draw 23.1%
Mora 40.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.5%
22.7%
40.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
24.3%
36.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vimmerby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
The chances for Mora have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vimmerby than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mora than the current prediction. (-4%)
Vimmerby - Mora Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Sorqvist I. (G)
31. Hellgren M. (G)
21. Bochen N.
50. Ekberg T.
33. Hurtig A. (A)
18. Thomsson T.
81. Mornsjo J.
27. Larsson H. (A)
36. Karlsson H. (C)
71. Giroux D. (A)
19. Carlsson A.
77. Mosley R.
Line 2
68. Westberg L.
6. Kopperstad V.
15. Lindgren O. (A)
16. Karlstrom M. (C)
96. Hellberg H.
26. Elvsveen P.
23. Karlsson M.
46. Sjodin S.
67. Norback J.
19. Tarnstrom O.
Line 3
27. Alftberg W.
4. Noren J.
7. Malmkvist G.
49. Olerot J.
58. Lejon H.
34. Juntorp N.
22. Kangas G.
22. Salqvist I.
9. Carlsson K.
91. Umegard K.
Line 4
6. Hjalm A.
8. Udd A.
29. Petersson A.
13. Milfors L.
48. Orrsten H.
20. Weigelt G. (A)
18. Wennstrom K. (A)
41. Aase-Stensland T.
Substitutes
30. Ryden T. (G)
57. Breivold T. (G)
12. Wiberg F.
43. Karlsson O.
Coaches
. Dahlgren G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
01:50, 1 - 0, Lindgren O. (G), Lejon H. (A), Mornsjo J. (A2)
06:51, 1 - 1, Aase-Stensland T. (G), Milfors L. (A),
11:49, 2 - 1, Petersson A. (G), Orrsten H. (A), Wennstrom K. (A2)
17:16, 3 - 1, Carlsson K. (G), Bochen N. (A), Lejon H. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
06:34, 3 - 2, Umegard K. (G),
16:34, 3 - 3, Umegard K. (G), Juntorp N. (A),
Overtime (1 - 0)
04', 4 - 3, (G),
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 12th and 8th in the Promotion - HockeyAllsvenskan Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vimmerby won 3.
Recent results have been tough for Vimmerby (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Mora has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Vimmerby could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Vimmerby has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:18 (averaging 2.1:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vimmerby against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 6:7 goals (averaging 1.5:1.8 per game).