Match Info

SWEDEN: HOCKEYALLSVENSKAN - ROUND 36

Date: 26 January 2024, Friday

Referee: Yngvesson M. (Swe) - Laksola D. (Swe)


	Almtuna IS		Västervik

	1	X	2
	1.73	4.3	4	Watch
	1.7	4.1	4.1
	1.72	4.33	4.18	Watch
	1.68	4.09	3.69
	1.72	4.05	4.41
	1.7	4	4
	1.7	4.2	4.03
	1.7	4.1	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.6)	4.15 ↓ (4.4)	4.05 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almtuna IS
54.6%

Draw
22.5%

Västervik
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

21.2%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

20.6%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almtuna IS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Västervik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almtuna IS than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almtuna IS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Västervik than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Almtuna IS - Västervik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 14 in the zone HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Out: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almtuna won 2.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Almtuna could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Almtuna is a favorite.

Last 33 head-to-head matches Almtuna won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 20 matches and goals 90-97.

Including matches at home between the teams Almtuna won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 57-47.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almtuna IS
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
24.01.24	Södertälje - Almtuna IS	4:2 ✺
19.01.24	Almtuna IS - BIK Karlskoga	3:4 ✺
17.01.24	Mora - Almtuna IS	4:1 ✺
13.01.24	Djurgården - Almtuna IS	3:2 penalties ✺
10.01.24	Almtuna IS - Östersund	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW
- Västerviks IK Hockey
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
24.01.24	Västervik - Mora	1:4 ✺
20.01.24	Västervik - Östersund	0:2 ✺
19.01.24	Västerås - Västervik	3:5 ✺
17.01.24	Västervik - Tingsryd	1:4 ✺
14.01.24	Mora - Västervik	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
29.11.23	Västervik - Almtuna IS	3:5
25.10.23	Almtuna IS - Västervik	1:2 OT
10.03.23	Västervik - Almtuna IS	4:3 OT
25.01.23	Almtuna IS - Västervik	2:3 OT
30.11.22	Västervik - Almtuna IS	1:3
26.11.22	Almtuna IS - Västervik	2:6
26.02.22	Västervik - Almtuna IS	3:2

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