Match Info

Alps Hockey League - Winners stage

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hodegart (Asiago) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	20:00	Valcome TV


	Asiago		Vipiteno

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	4.35	3.95	Watch
	1.53	4.85	4.02
	1.53	5.03	4.23	Watch
	1.53	4.4	4
	1.53	4.7	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.66)	4.67 ↑ (4.64)	4.11 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Asiago
58.6%

Draw
19.4%

Vipiteno
22%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.5%

19.8%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

21.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Asiago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Vipiteno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asiago than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Asiago that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vipiteno than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vipiteno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Asiago - Vipiteno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Rigoni R. (G)	30. Klammer F. (G)
4. Gios G.	2. Gschnitzer J.
17. Casetti L.	21. Soraruf D.
95. Magnabosco M.	54. Conci D.
18. Johnson C.	90. Cianfrone B.
10. Parco A.	26. Sproviero F.
Line 2
63. Bellini S.	44. Nitz G.
21. Calisti R.	4. Ramo J.
9. Valentini R.	37. Gschliesser F.
37. Chiodo L.	12. Livingston J.
71. Porco N.	22. Zandegiacomo L.
Line 3
89. Rigoni F.	91. Brunner A.
44. Parini G.	42. Niccolai A.
61. Garau N.	19. Eisendle P.
88. Traversa T.	88. Sanvido C.
19. Rigoni F.	41. Hofer E.
Line 4
74. Ferretti L.	9. Kantgias C.
41. Forte M.	84. Nardon L.
29. Nitz R.	61. Kruselburger L.
16. Stevan M.	16. Niccolai M.
91. Rigoni A.	79. Kerschbaumer J.
Substitutes
31. Santangelo R. (G)	32. Leitner D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
12:41, 1 - 0, Porco N. (G), Valentini R. (A), Chiodo L. (A2)
2nd Period (4 - 2)
01:27, 2 - 0, Valentini R. (G), Calisti R. (A), Rigoni R. (A2)
03:17, 3 - 0, Valentini R. (G), Calisti R. (A), Porco N. (A2)
11:17, 4 - 0, Valentini R. (G), Traversa T. (A),
12:19, 4 - 1, Sanvido C. (G), Sproviero F. (A),
14:11, 4 - 2, Livingston J. (G),
19:57, 5 - 2, Chiodo L. (G), Valentini R. (A), Porco N. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
15:18, 5 - 3, Conci D. (G), Cianfrone B. (A), Livingston J. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Asiago won 5.

Recent performances by Asiago have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vipiteno's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vipiteno may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Asiago is the team to beat.

We predict that Asiago will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Asiago won 19 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 100:47. (average 5:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Asiago won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 58:27. (average 5.8:2.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	D	LO	L		Pts
2	Asiago	14	8	3	0	1	2	67:46	31
10	Vipiteno	10	2	2	0	1	5	33:40	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Asiago Hockey
Alps Hockey League
21.02.26	Zell am See - Asiago	5:2 ✺
19.02.26	Asiago - Red Bull Salzburg 2	2:1 ✺
17.02.26	Vipiteno - Asiago	1:2 OT ✺
07.02.26	Asiago - Zell am See	1:3 ✺
31.01.26	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Asiago	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWLW
- Broncos Sterzing-Vipiteno
Alps Hockey League
26.02.26	Vipiteno - Zell am See	2:9 ✺
21.02.26	Vipiteno - Red Bull Salzburg 2	1:3 ✺
19.02.26	Sisak - Vipiteno	5:6 penalties ✺
17.02.26	Vipiteno - Asiago	1:2 OT ✺
07.02.26	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Vipiteno	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
17.02.26	Vipiteno - Asiago	1:2 OT
30.12.25	Asiago - Vipiteno	5:2
06.12.25	Vipiteno - Asiago	3:7
01.11.25	Asiago - Vipiteno	7:3
19.03.22	Asiago - Vipiteno	6:4
17.03.22	Vipiteno - Asiago	2:6
15.03.22	Asiago - Vipiteno	8:2

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