The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Baník Sokolov 30.1%
Draw 22.5%
Kolín 47.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.5%
23.3%
42.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.7%
24.1%
40.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baník Sokolov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Kolín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kolín's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Sokolov than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baník Sokolov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kolín than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kolín, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Baník Sokolov - Kolín Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
85. Habal V. (G)
2. Kasal J. (G)
40. Klejna F.
18. Pavelka T.
19. Lindelof A.
20. Vlasak A.
98. Krezolek P.
87. Musil P. (C)
76. Osmik M.
81. Skorepa J. (A)
12. Vracovsky T.
49. Marha S.
Line 2
9. Sedivy J.
6. Krepelka K.
51. Pulpan L. (C)
4. Sykora D.
94. Csamango S.
13. Pajer L.
91. Knotek T.
15. Hora T.
88. Kupco L.
88. Gardon M.
Line 3
17. Pinkas M.
3. Moravec T.
90. Rohan M. (A)
16. Hampl J.
21. Janata R.
84. Zvagulis K.
15. Adamek M.
8. Pokorny S.
42. Vrhel S.
11. Dlouhy A. (A)
Line 4
81. Vogel J.
14. Cech A.
8. Nedelka A.
95. Tuma T.
14. Varvarovsky D.
19. Kral P.
23. Slechta R.
22. Adamec A.
Substitutes
1. Stuchlik M. (G)
46. Soukup J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
02:13, 0 - 1, Kral P. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
00:43, 0 - 2, Hora T. (G), Pajer L. (A), Marha S. (A2)
03:14, 0 - 3, Dlouhy A. (G), Zvagulis K. (A),
11:00, 1 - 3, Osmik M. (G), Vracovsky T. (A), Pulpan L. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 3)
01:21, 1 - 4, Gardon M. (G), Hora T. (A),
02:49, 2 - 4, Nedelka A. (G), Vracovsky T. (A),
05:42, 2 - 5, Skorepa J. (G), Krepelka K. (A), Sykora D. (A2)
06:46, 2 - 6, Pajer L. (G), Gardon M. (A), Moravec T. (A2)
19:52, 3 - 6, Klejna F. (G),
Preview
Kolín is Qualified for Maxa liga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sokolov won 2.
In recent matches, Sokolov has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Kolín is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Sokolov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Kolín could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sokolov won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 58:47. (average 2.9:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Sokolov won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:17. (average 3.1:1.9).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
5
Kolin
11
4
4
1
2
32:28
21
12
Sokolov
11
2
1
2
6
28:39
10
Last Results with these Odds
Baník Sokolov - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.5%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.