The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brisbane Lightning 20.4%
Draw 15.7%
CBR Brave 63.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.7%
14%
57.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31%
15.1%
53%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brisbane Lightning's form might have worsened.
CBR Brave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CBR Brave's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lightning than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brisbane Lightning, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CBR Brave than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CBR Brave, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Brisbane Lightning - CBR Brave Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:6
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 2)
09:05, 0 - 1, Kubara C. (G), Steven T. (A), Ratcliffe J. (A2)
12:57, 0 - 2, Canic D. (G), Carey J. (A), Maylan J. (A2)
18:11, 1 - 2, Shankar Z. (G),
19:01, 2 - 2, Gendunov B. (G), Pretorius N. (A), Hodges B. (A2)
19:16, 3 - 2, Shankar Z. (G), Hebert G. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 4)
04:05, 3 - 3, Bates P. (G), Marks C. (A), Fahmy L. (A2)
06:53, 4 - 3, Gendunov B. (G), Shankar Z. (A), Hebert G. (A2)
07:04, 5 - 3, Shankar Z. (G), Hebert G. (A), Gendunov B. (A2)
10:35, 5 - 4, Bates P. (G), Carey J. (A), Canic D. (A2)
12:46, 5 - 5, Henning M. (G), Miettinen K. (A), Maylan J. (A2)
19:53, 5 - 6, Ratcliffe J. (G), Kubara C. (A), Crowder B. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
02:56, 5 - 7, Maylan J. (G), Henning M. (A),
15:49, 5 - 8, Marks C. (G), Maylan J. (A), Fahmy L. (A2)
18:57, 5 - 9, Marks C. (G), Kubara B. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 3.
Recent form of Brisbane has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
CBR Brave is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Brisbane may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, CBR Brave has had a series of home games.
In this match, CBR Brave is the team to beat.
We predict that CBR Brave will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 49:64. (average 4.1:5.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:32. (average 3.3:5.3).
Last Results with these Odds
CBR Brave - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.29%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
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