Match Info
AIHLDate: 5 July 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AIHL TV |
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Brisbane Lightning |
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Perth Thunder |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
4.33 |
6.25 |
1.40 |
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 |
4.05 |
5.35 |
1.47 |
|
 |
4.3 |
6 |
1.45 |
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 |
4.47 |
6.21 |
1.46 |
 Watch |
 |
4.1 |
5.55 |
1.43 |
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 |
4.77 |
6.1 |
1.38 |
Watch |
 |
4.5 |
6.4 |
1.4 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.36 ↓
(4.61) |
5.98 ↓
(6.66) |
1.43 ↑
(1.36) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 10.75
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Brisbane Lightning
20.9% | Draw
15.2% | Perth Thunder
63.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Perth Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lightning than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perth Thunder than the current prediction. (-3.2%)Brisbane Lightning - Perth Thunder Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:7 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (0 - 2)
- 04:49, 0 - 1, Lodge L. (G), Tenosalmi V. (A), Langille R. (A2)
- 11:17, 0 - 2, Webster K. (G), Woodman J. (A), Kluuskeri J. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 14:23, 0 - 3, Tenosalmi V. (G), Breault B. (A),
- 18:36, 1 - 3, Campbell A. (G), Gendunov B. (A), Shankar Z. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 0.Brisbane has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Perth is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Brisbane may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Perth is a strong favorite.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:63. (average 3.1:6.3).Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 4:4.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
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