Match Info
AIHLDate: 17 May 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AIHL TV |
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Brisbane Lightning |
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Sydney Bears |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.4 |
4.2 |
2.15 |
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 |
2.43 |
4.5 |
2.12 |
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 |
2.48 |
4.97 |
2.15 |
 Watch |
 |
2.4 |
4.7 |
2.09 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↑
(2.4) |
4.59 ↓
(5.21) |
2.13
(2.13) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 8.50
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Brisbane Lightning
37.5% | Draw
19.8% | Sydney Bears
42.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Sydney Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lightning than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Bears than the current prediction. (-2.4%)Brisbane Lightning - Sydney Bears Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:5 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 04:07, 1 - 0, Campbell A. (G), Hopps T. (A),
- 15:04, 1 - 1, Olive L. (G), Landa T. (A), Herrmann L. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 3)
- 03:11, 1 - 2, Herrmann L. (G),
- 04:58, 1 - 3, Hayashi K. (G), Brodie L. (A),
- 11:20, 2 - 3, Rapchuk S. (G),
- 13:30, 2 - 4, Brodie L. (G),
- 3rd Period (2 - 3)
- 07:41, 2 - 5, Withey F. (G), Wardlaw A. (A), Oxlade T. (A2)
- 14:00, 3 - 5, Walker E. (G), Wanat A. (A),
- 17:16, 3 - 6, Brodie L. (G), Clare T. (A), Wardlaw A. (A2)
- 18:31, 4 - 6, Hopps T. (G),
- 18:40, 4 - 7, Withey F. (G), Oxlade T. (A), Remler-Jensen G. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 0.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Sydney Bears may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:43. (average 3.3:6.1).Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:22. (average 2.3:5.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian Ice Hockey League | | | 16.05.26 | Brisbane Lightning - Sydney Bears | 5:6 OT | | 18.04.26 | Sydney Bears - Brisbane Lightning | 6:4 | | 19.05.24 | Sydney Bears - Brisbane Lightning | 9:6 | | 12.05.24 | Brisbane Lightning - Sydney Bears | 1:8 | | 11.05.24 | Brisbane Lightning - Sydney Bears | 1:4 | | 06.08.23 | Sydney Bears - Brisbane Lightning | 6:4 | | 24.06.23 | Brisbane Lightning - Sydney Bears | 2:4 |
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