Match Info
AIHLDate: 3 May 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AIHL TV |
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Perth Thunder |
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Brisbane Lightning |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.26 |
6.65 |
6.05 |
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 |
1.41 |
6.1 |
4.27 |
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 |
1.32 |
8.4 |
5.23 |
 Watch |
 |
1.2 |
7.5 |
6.5 |
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 |
1.24 |
6.95 |
6.78 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.29 ↓
(1.3) |
7.12 ↓
(7.56) |
5.77 ↑
(5.64) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 9.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Perth Thunder
71.2% | Draw
12.9% | Brisbane Lightning
15.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perth Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Brisbane Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perth Thunder than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lightning than the current prediction. (+1.3%)Perth Thunder - Brisbane Lightning Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 03:14, 1 - 0, Hikosaka Y. (G), Plouffe F. (A), Breault B. (A2)
- 2nd Period (3 - 1)
- 00:33, 2 - 0, Hrehorcak P. (G), Hikosaka Y. (A), Plouffe F. (A2)
- 10:23, 3 - 0, Hikosaka Y. (G), Hrehorcak P. (A), Haselhurst R. (A2)
- 11:05, 3 - 1, Rapchuk S. (G), Hopps T. (A), Walker E. (A2)
- 14:41, 4 - 1, Plouffe F. (G), Hrehorcak P. (A), Woodman J. (A2)
- 3rd Period (6 - 2)
- 04:28, 5 - 1, Webster K. (G), Breault B. (A), Kyros J. (A2)
- 04:58, 5 - 2, Walker E. (G), Hodges B. (A), Wanat A. (A2)
- 07:23, 6 - 2, Hrehorcak P. (G), Plouffe F. (A), Breault B. (A2)
- 12:01, 7 - 2, Kyros J. (G), Plouffe F. (A), Gordon F. (A2)
- 15:01, 8 - 2, Hikosaka Y. (G), Breault B. (A),
- 15:44, 8 - 3, Campbell A. (G), Hopps T. (A), Gendunov B. (A2)
- 16:06, 9 - 3, Ruck J. (G), Lyashenko M. (A), Maybee B. (A2)
- 16:34, 10 - 3, Webster K. (G), Gordon F. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perth won 4.Perth is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).Brisbane's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). In this match, Perth is the clear favorite.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Perth won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 53:28. (average 5.9:3.1).Including home matches between the teams, Perth won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 34:12. (average 6.8:2.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian Ice Hockey League | | | 02.05.26 | Perth Thunder - Brisbane Lightning | 7:4 | | 29.06.25 | Perth Thunder - Brisbane Lightning | 5:4 OT | | 28.06.25 | Perth Thunder - Brisbane Lightning | 11:2 | | 11.05.25 | Brisbane Lightning - Perth Thunder | 2:3 | | 10.05.25 | Brisbane Lightning - Perth Thunder | 6:5 | | 10.08.24 | Perth Thunder - Brisbane Lightning | 6:0 | | 07.04.24 | Brisbane Lightning - Perth Thunder | 1:5 |
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