Match Info

NHL

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday

Location: KeyBank Center (Buffalo, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	ESPN 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
France	beIN Sports 3
Germany	NHL.tv, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	ESPN 2
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN USA, ESPN+, MSG Sportsnet, MSG, NESN
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Buffalo Sabres		Florida Panthers

	1	X	2
	2.40	4.00	2.45	Watch
	2.35	3.90	2.50
	2.45	4.20	2.48
	2.38	4.24	2.53
	2.41	4.32	2.46	Watch
	2.35	4.20	2.50
	2.46	4.21	2.59
	2.36	4.00	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.7)	4.13 ↓ (4.28)	2.5 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buffalo Sabres
39.4%

Draw
22.8%

Florida Panthers
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

22.7%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

22.7%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buffalo Sabres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Florida Panthers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florida Panthers than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	30%	50%

Buffalo Sabres - Florida Panthers Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Buffalo will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Florida will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Florida: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Florida (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 3.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Florida could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Buffalo has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

Recently, Florida has had a run of games away from home.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Buffalo: Lyon A. (Upper-Body Injury) Timmins C. (Lower-Body Injury) Zucker J. (Hernia).

Confirmed absences for Florida: Barkov A. (Knee Injury) Gadjovich J. (Upper-Body Injury) Marchand B. (Leg Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Florida: Luostarinen E. (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Buffalo has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 49:68 (averaging 2.5:3.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Buffalo against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 24:36 goals (averaging 2.4:3.6 per game).

Outrights of NHL for now

Florida Panthers: 9.51% Buffalo Sabres: 2.46%

Last Results with these Odds

Florida Panthers - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 41.44%, but this team recently wins 59% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buffalo Sabres
NHL
10.10.26	Buffalo Sabres - Utah Mammoth	1:4 ✺
08.10.26	Buffalo Sabres - Dallas Stars	0:4 ✺
06.10.26	Buffalo Sabres - Minnesota Wild	3:2 OT ✺
03.10.26	Buffalo Sabres - Chicago Blackhawks	4:3 ✺
01.10.26	Columbus Blue Jackets - Buffalo Sabres	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWWL
- Florida Panthers
NHL
10.10.26	Florida Panthers - Minnesota Wild	1:4 ✺
06.10.26	Los Angeles Kings - Florida Panthers	1:2 ✺
04.10.26	Anaheim Ducks - Florida Panthers	3:2 AET ✺
01.10.26	San Jose Sharks - Florida Panthers	4:3 AET ✺
29.09.26	Carolina Hurricanes - Florida Panthers	0:1 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
27.02.26	Florida Panthers - Buffalo Sabres	2:3
02.02.26	Florida Panthers - Buffalo Sabres	3:5
12.01.26	Buffalo Sabres - Florida Panthers	3:4
18.10.25	Buffalo Sabres - Florida Panthers	3:0
12.04.25	Florida Panthers - Buffalo Sabres	3:2 penalties
08.03.25	Florida Panthers - Buffalo Sabres	4:0
28.10.24	Buffalo Sabres - Florida Panthers	2:5

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