The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montreal Canadiens 49%
Draw 21.9%
Buffalo Sabres 29.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.2%
22.3%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.6%
22.1%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montreal Canadiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Buffalo Sabres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.7%
18.2%
9.1%
Montreal Canadiens - Buffalo Sabres Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Buffalo will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Montreal: 54.1% – 91.3%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Montreal (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1.5, OT - Buffalo (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Montreal (votes: 1 - 50%). Buffalo (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
75. Dobes J. (G)
34. Lyon A. (G)
45. Carrier A.
23. Samuelsson M. (A)
8. Matheson M. (A)
26. Dahlin R. (C)
20. Slafkovsky J.
89. Tuch A. (A)
14. Suzuki N. (C)
72. Thompson T.
13. Caufield C.
19. Krebs P.
Line 2
53. Dobson N.
25. Power O.
48. Hutson L.
4. Byram B.
93. Demidov I.
91. Doan J.
71. Evans J.
9. Norris J.
15. Newhook A.
6. Benson Z.
Line 3
21. Guhle K.
21. Timmins C.
72. Xhekaj A.
73. Metsa Z.
17. Anderson J. (A)
22. Quinn J.
24. Danault P.
94. Helenius K.
85. Texier A.
17. Zucker J.
Line 4
77. Dach K.
29. Malenstyn B.
90. Veleno J.
71. McLeod R.
76. Bolduc Z.
12. Greenway J.
Substitutes
32. Fowler J. (G)
1. Luukkonen U. (G)
Coaches
. St. Louis M.
. Ruff L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 2)
00:32, 0 - 1, Dahlin R. (G), Samuelsson M. (A), Benson Z. (A2)
01:40, 1 - 1, Xhekaj A. (G), Evans J. (A),
07:43, Krebs P. (2 min),
08:12, 2 - 1, Demidov I. (G), Hutson L. (A), Caufield C. (A2)
08:30, Danault P. (2 min),
09:50, Dobes J. (2 min),
09:50, Dahlin R. (2 min),
10:14, 3 - 1, Evans J. (G), Matheson M. (A),
10:14, Lyon A. ↓, Luukkonen U. ↑,
11:47, Matheson M. (2 min),
13:56, 3 - 2, Zucker J. (G), Norris J. (A), Quinn J. (A2)
17:17, Hutson L. (2 min),
17:17, Norris J. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 3)
01:00, 3 - 3, Benson Z. (G), Thompson T. (A), Byram B. (A2)
07:08, (2 min),
10:10, Carrier A. (2 min),
10:54, 3 - 4, Quinn J. (G), Dahlin R. (A), Thompson T. (A2)
12:59, 3 - 5, Helenius K. (G), Zucker J. (A), Dahlin R. (A2)
15:55, Tuch A. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 3)
09:12, Anderson J. (2 min),
09:58, 3 - 6, Quinn J. (G), Thompson T. (A), Dahlin R. (A2)
09:58, Dobes J. ↓, Fowler J. ↑,
14:12, 3 - 7, Thompson T. (G),
17:16, Xhekaj A. (2 min),
17:20, Evans J. (2 min),
17:20, Norris J. (2 min),
17:20, Carrier A. (10 min),
17:20, Benson Z. (10 min),
17:20, Evans J. (10 min),
17:49, 3 - 8, Metsa Z. (G), McLeod R. (A), Dahlin R. (A2)
17:52, Krebs P. (10 min),
17:52, Dach K. (10 min),
Preview
Montreal Canadiens leads series 3-2. Sixth leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Montreal could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Montreal: Laine P.
(Abdominal strain)
There will not play in Buffalo: Danforth J.
(Knee Injury)
Kulich J.
(Health problems)
Ostlund N.
(Lower-Body Injury)
We predict that Montreal will win today's game, with odds of 1.98.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 73:61. (average 3.7:3.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:31. (average 3.2:3.4).
Outrights of NHL for now
Montreal Canadiens: 3.88% Buffalo Sabres: 2.48%
Last Results with these Odds
Buffalo Sabres - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 30.48%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.