Match Info

NHL

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday

Location: KeyBank Center (Buffalo, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Germany	NHL.tv
Mexico	Disney+
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Sweden	Viaplay
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN USA, MSG Sportsnet, MSG
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Buffalo Sabres		Minnesota Wild

	1	X	2
	2.45	4.10	2.35	Watch
	2.50	4.00	2.35
	2.55	4.10	2.43
	2.50	4.22	2.42
	2.42	4.32	2.45	Watch
	2.45	4.20	2.40
	2.55	4.31	2.46
	2.43	4.10	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.93)	4.17 ↓ (4.36)	2.4 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buffalo Sabres
38.1%

Draw
22.7%

Minnesota Wild
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

22.2%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

22.1%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buffalo Sabres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Minnesota Wild has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Minnesota Wild might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Buffalo Sabres that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota Wild than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Minnesota Wild could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	18.2%	72.7%

Buffalo Sabres - Minnesota Wild Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Buffalo will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Minnesota will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Buffalo (votes: 1 - 50%). Minnesota (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
92. Ellis C. (G)	30. Wallstedt J. (G)
23. Samuelsson M. (A)	46. Spurgeon J. (C)
26. Dahlin R. (C)	43. Hughes Q.
91. Doan J.	12. Boldy M.
72. Thompson T. (A)	14. Eriksson Ek J.
9. Norris J.	20. Coleman B.
Line 2
8. Zellweger O.	25. Brodin J.
25. Power O.	3. Maatta O.
22. Quinn J.	49. Shabanov M.
86. Ostlund N.	22. Yurov D.
6. Benson Z.	97. Kaprizov K. (A)
Line 3
73. Metsa Z.	24. Bogosian Z.
46. Crevier L.	48. Hunt D.
94. Helenius K.	10. Brink B.
71. McLeod R.	38. Hartman R.
19. Krebs P.	13. Trenin Y.
Line 4
29. Malenstyn B.	17. Foligno M. (A)
20. Kulich J.	47. McCarron M.
15. Danforth J.	71. Foligno N.
Substitutes
1. Luukkonen U. (G)	31. Pickard C. (G)
Coaches
. Ruff L.	. Hynes J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
04:03, Brodin J. (2 min),
10:30, Benson Z. (2 min),
17:59, Dahlin R. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
07:28, McLeod R. (2 min),
13:17, Krebs P. (2 min),
13:53, 0 - 1, Yurov D. (G), Spurgeon J. (A), Coleman B. (A2)
15:38, 0 - 2, Shabanov M. (G), Hughes Q. (A), McCarron M. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
03:55, 1 - 2, Ostlund N. (G), Power O. (A), Dahlin R. (A2)
09:38, 2 - 2, Thompson T. (G), Krebs P. (A),
16:09, Maatta O. (2 min),
Overtime (1 - 0)
04:22, 3 - 2, Power O. (G), Kulich J. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 2.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Minnesota could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Buffalo: Lyon A. (Upper-Body Injury) Timmins C. (Lower-Body Injury) Zucker J. (Hernia).

Confirmed absences for Minnesota: Faber B. (Head Injury) Gustavsson F. (Hip Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Minnesota: Yurov D. (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Buffalo has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 53:63 (averaging 2.7:3.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Buffalo against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 31:39 goals (averaging 2.8:3.5 per game).

Outrights of NHL for now

Minnesota Wild: 5.97% Buffalo Sabres: 2.45%

Last Results with these Odds

Buffalo Sabres - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 33.09%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Minnesota Wild - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 44.68%, but this team recently wins 39% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buffalo Sabres
NHL
03.10.26	Buffalo Sabres - Chicago Blackhawks	4:3 ✺
01.10.26	Columbus Blue Jackets - Buffalo Sabres	6:3 ✺
26.09.26	Buffalo Sabres - Pittsburgh Penguins	1:3 ✺
24.09.26	Detroit Red Wings - Buffalo Sabres	3:2 OT ✺
22.09.26	Buffalo Sabres - Columbus Blue Jackets	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLW
- Minnesota Wild
NHL
03.10.26	Minnesota Wild - Boston Bruins	4:1 ✺
01.10.26	Nashville Predators - Minnesota Wild	1:3 ✺
25.09.26	Minnesota Wild - Dallas Stars	1:2 ✺
23.09.26	Dallas Stars - Minnesota Wild	2:0 ✺
21.09.26	Chicago Blackhawks - Minnesota Wild	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
17.01.26	Buffalo Sabres - Minnesota Wild	4:5 OT
29.11.25	Minnesota Wild - Buffalo Sabres	2:3 penalties
22.03.25	Minnesota Wild - Buffalo Sabres	4:1
27.11.24	Buffalo Sabres - Minnesota Wild	0:1
17.02.24	Minnesota Wild - Buffalo Sabres	2:3 OT
10.11.23	Buffalo Sabres - Minnesota Wild	3:2
28.01.23	Minnesota Wild - Buffalo Sabres	3:2 penalties

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