Match Info

Extraliga - Round 40

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Location: Home Credit Arena (Liberec)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 2


	Bílí Tygři Liberec		HC Plzeň 1929

	1	X	2
	1.91	4	3.4	Watch
	2.08	4	2.95	Watch
	2.1	3.85	3.05
	2	3.9	2.88
	2.05	3.96	3.1	Watch
	2.1	4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.24)	3.95 ↓ (4.03)	3.06 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bílí Tygři Liberec
45.8%

Draw
23.7%

HC Plzeň 1929
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

23.1%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

24.8%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bílí Tygři Liberec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

HC Plzeň 1929 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bílí Tygři Liberec than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HC Plzeň 1929 than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Bílí Tygři Liberec - HC Plzeň 1929 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Plzeň will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Liberec (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
60. Kvaca P. (G)	31. Malik N. (G)
59. Kolmann P.	20. Zamorsky P. (A)
44. Simek R. (C)	41. Salda R.
43. Sandberg F.	89. Holesinsky A.
71. Najman A.	49. Simon D.
25. Lenc R. (A)	84. Schleiss J. (A)
Line 2
29. Ivan M. (A)	13. Merezhko I.
8. Zile K.	5. Jerabek J. (C)
77. Fasko-Rudas M.	18. Strnad L.
41. Filippi T.	42. Filip M.
26. Weatherby J.	22. Mechura A.
Line 3
90. Zeman D.	47. Lajunen V.
2. Ahac L.	8. Malak D.
20. Pytlik J.	17. Rohlik O.
14. Musil A.	23. Petman V.
13. Perez J.	92. Teply M.
Line 4
6. Aubrecht D.	26. Psenicka O.
5. Mazura T.	30. Lev J.
81. Jansa F.	14. Sedlacek I.
83. Petrovsky S.
Substitutes
56. Lukes S. (G)	33. Ruzicka J. (G)
Coaches
. Kudrna J.	. Jandac J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
13:25, 1 - 0, Musil A. (G), Perez J. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
05:43, Lajunen V. (2 min),
11:52, 2 - 0, Kolmann P. (G), Filippi T. (A),
13:14, Mazura T. (2 min),
19:57, Filippi T. (2 min),
19:57, Sedlacek I. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
05:42, 2 - 1, Zamorsky P. (G), Salda R. (A), Lev J. (A2)
08:15, Lenc R. (Penalty Shot),
08:20, Jerabek J. (2 min),
14:34, 2 - 2, Rohlik O. (G), Teply M. (A), Merezhko I. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Najman A. (Penalty Shot),
1, Teply M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Filippi T. (Penalty Shot),
2, Filip M. (Penalty Shot),
3, Pytlik J. (Penalty Shot),
3, Petman V. (Penalty Shot),
4, Sandberg F. (Penalty Shot),
4, Salda R. (Penalty Shot),
5, Lenc R. (Penalty Shot),
5, Strnad L. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liberec won 2.

Liberec has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Plzeň is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Plzeň may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Liberec: Hamalcik P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Plzeň: Kvasnicka D. (Concussion) Lalancette C. (Hand Injury) Petman M. (Injury) Siler J. (Knee Injury) Soukup M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Liberec: Filippi T. (Health problems)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liberec won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 48:45. (average 2.4:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Liberec won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 2.2:2.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Plzen	9	3	2	1	3	23:21	14
6	Liberec	9	4	0	2	3	26:25	14

Last Results with these Odds

Bílí Tygři Liberec - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.55%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

HC Plzeň 1929 - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.36%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bílí Tygři Liberec
Czech Extraliga
04.01.26	Mountfield Hradec Králové - Bílí Tygři Liberec	0:2 ✺
02.01.26	Olomouc - Bílí Tygři Liberec	5:3 ✺
30.12.25	Bílí Tygři Liberec - Mladá Boleslav	2:1 penalties ✺
26.12.25	Bílí Tygři Liberec - Energie Karlovy Vary	2:3 ✺
23.12.25	Vítkovice Steel - Bílí Tygři Liberec	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWLL
- HC Plzeň 1929
Czech Extraliga
06.01.26	Vítkovice Steel - HC Plzeň 1929	4:6 ✺
04.01.26	HC Plzeň 1929 - Mladá Boleslav	6:2 ✺
02.01.26	Verva Litvínov - HC Plzeň 1929	1:8 ✺
28.12.25	Energie Karlovy Vary - HC Plzeň 1929	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	HC Plzeň 1929 - Rytíři Kladno	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech Extraliga
28.11.25	HC Plzeň 1929 - Bílí Tygři Liberec	2:1 OT
12.10.25	HC Plzeň 1929 - Bílí Tygři Liberec	0:1
10.09.25	Bílí Tygři Liberec - HC Plzeň 1929	1:3
12.02.25	HC Plzeň 1929 - Bílí Tygři Liberec	2:3 OT
30.12.24	Bílí Tygři Liberec - HC Plzeň 1929	3:4 penalties
03.11.24	HC Plzeň 1929 - Bílí Tygři Liberec	1:0
27.09.24	Bílí Tygři Liberec - HC Plzeň 1929	1:2 OT

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