Match Info

Extraliga - Round 28

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Home Credit Arena (Liberec)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 2


	Bílí Tygři Liberec		Pardubice

	1	X	2
	2.75	4.2	2.18	Watch
	2.6	4.1	2.26	Watch
	2.52	3.87	2.31
	2.60	3.95	2.35	Watch
	2.66	3.98	2.27	Watch
	2.65	4	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.73)	4.02 ↓ (4.19)	2.28 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bílí Tygři Liberec
35.6%

Draw
23.3%

Pardubice
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

22.4%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

22%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bílí Tygři Liberec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Pardubice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bílí Tygři Liberec than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Bílí Tygři Liberec - Pardubice Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Liberec will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Pardubice will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Liberec (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
60. Kvaca P. (G)	32. Subban M. (G)
44. Simek R. (C)	33. Kostalek J.
79. Galvas T.	24. Hajek L.
43. Sandberg F.	94. Lauko J.
26. Weatherby J.	23. Sedlak L. (C)
25. Lenc R. (A)	19. Cervenka R. (A)
Line 2
29. Ivan M. (A)	41. Ceresnak P. (A)
8. Zile K.	43. Gazda D.
77. Fasko-Rudas M.	89. Mandat J.
41. Filippi T.	44. Poulicek P.
82. Prochazka O.	90. Kousal R.
Line 3
90. Zeman D.	79. Tourigny M.
2. Ahac L.	4. Miklis O.
13. Perez J.	27. Pekar M.
71. Najman A.	11. Kondelik J.
14. Musil A.	29. Kelemen M.
Line 4
21. Hanousek T.	77. Chabada O.
69. Zachar M.	55. Vondracek T.
81. Jansa F.	8. Hrnicko D.
83. Petrovsky S.	14. Twarynski C.
Substitutes
56. Lukes S. (G)	28. Urban T.
	35. Will R. (G)
Coaches
. Kudrna J.	. Pesan F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
03:41, Ivan M. (2 min),
17:23, 0 - 1, Lauko J. (G), Sedlak L. (A), Cervenka R. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
02:30, 1 - 1, Sandberg F. (G), Lenc R. (A), Kvaca P. (A2)
02:53, Ceresnak P. (2 min),
11:01, 1 - 2, Gazda D. (G), Lauko J. (A),
11:21, Jansa F. (2 min),
13:38, 2 - 2, Filippi T. (G), Najman A. (A),
17:37, 3 - 2, Zile K. (G), Sandberg F. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
13:21, 4 - 2, Filippi T. (G), Simek R. (A), Fasko-Rudas M. (A2)
13:21, (2 min),
16:59, Zile K. (5 min),
17:52, Fasko-Rudas M. (2 min),
18:29, Kondelik J. (2 min),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liberec won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Pardubice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Liberec: Hamalcik P. (Knee Injury) Pytlik J. (Knee Injury) Vlach J. (Neck Injury)

There will not play in Pardubice: Dvorak T. (Health problems) Kaut M. (Knee Injury) Smejkal J. (Upper-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Pardubice: Sobotka V. (Health problems)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liberec won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 51:51. (average 2.6:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Liberec won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:32. (average 3:3.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Bílí Tygři Liberec - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 34.31%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Pardubice - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43.32%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bílí Tygři Liberec
Czech Extraliga
28.11.25	HC Plzeň 1929 - Bílí Tygři Liberec	2:1 OT ✺
25.11.25	Bílí Tygři Liberec - Motor České Budějovice	5:2 ✺
23.11.25	Bílí Tygři Liberec - Mountfield Hradec Králové	3:2 ✺
16.11.25	Mladá Boleslav - Bílí Tygři Liberec	2:0 ✺
14.11.25	Bílí Tygři Liberec - Sparta Prague	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWLW
- CSOB Pojistovna Pardubice
Czech Extraliga
28.11.25	Pardubice - Mountfield Hradec Králové	3:1 ✺
25.11.25	Pardubice - Sparta Prague	1:2 OT ✺
23.11.25	Vítkovice Steel - Pardubice	3:2 ✺
20.11.25	Pardubice - Energie Karlovy Vary	4:1 ✺
16.11.25	Verva Litvínov - Pardubice	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech Extraliga
17.10.25	Pardubice - Bílí Tygři Liberec	0:5
12.09.25	Bílí Tygři Liberec - Pardubice	4:2
25.02.25	Bílí Tygři Liberec - Pardubice	3:2
12.01.25	Pardubice - Bílí Tygři Liberec	2:3
29.11.24	Bílí Tygři Liberec - Pardubice	1:4
11.10.24	Pardubice - Bílí Tygři Liberec	2:1 penalties
18.02.24	Pardubice - Bílí Tygři Liberec	7:1

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