Match Info

EUROPE: Alps Hockey League - Losers stage - Round 5

Date: 20 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Drsališče v Mestnem parku (Celje)


	Celje		Sisak

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.2	4.45	1.73	Watch
	3.26	4.68	1.7
	3.47	4.84	1.71	Watch
	3.5	4.75	1.67
	3.57	4.5	1.7
	3.2	4.45	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (3.2)	4.61 ↑ (4.45)	1.71 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celje
27%

Draw
19.7%

Sisak
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

20.1%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

20.3%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Sisak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sisak than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Celje - Sisak Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
41. Heiskanen A. (G)	29. Rosandic V. (G)
17. Logar M.	21. Cavlovic N.
21. Bernard J.	24. Puzic I. (C)
22. Panasenko B.	12. Kasparek F.
36. Tsarkovskyi D.	20. Idzan V.
16. Mintautiskis M.	4. Bebek A.
Line 2
3. Sirovnik N.	41. Slovinac L.
43. Sillanpaa J.	5. Dobric P. (A)
13. Bukovec M.	15. Dostalek V.
18. Jakupovic A.	16. Briere C.
15. Sojer M.	18. Bronte T. (A)
Line 3
12. Groznik M.	68. Smolec J.
11. Grahut N.	97. Vukadin M.
71. Sodja Zalokar G.	71. Burgar N.
14. Zezelj G.	27. Malenica N.
8. Zorman Z.	19. Kanaet D.
Line 4
	14. Peceric P.
	77. Stepanov N.
	25. Mandusic M.
	87. Bujger I.
	7. Polonijo F.
Substitutes
30. Gajsek J. (G)	32. Slade N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
05:13, 1 - 0, Jakupovic A. (G), Bukovec M. (A),
05:31, 1 - 1, Smolec J. (G), Dostalek V. (A), Bronte T. (A2)
10:16, 1 - 2, Bronte T. (G), Briere C. (A), Slovinac L. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
01:38, 2 - 2, Sojer M. (G), Jakupovic A. (A), Bukovec M. (A2)
13:40, 3 - 2, Sojer M. (G), Tsarkovskyi D. (A), Panasenko B. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
10:33, 3 - 3, Dostalek V. (G), Bronte T. (A),
15:11, 4 - 3, Sojer M. (G), Jakupovic A. (A),

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Celje could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Celje have a series of guest games.

Sisak will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Celje won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:17 (average 2.5:4.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Celje won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Celje
Alps Hockey League
18.02.25	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Celje	4:1 ✺
15.02.25	Celje - Tigers Bregenzerwald	2:3 OT ✺
13.02.25	Unterland Cavaliers - Celje	1:2 penalties ✺
11.02.25	Sisak - Celje	4:5 ✺
04.02.25	Ritten-Renon - Celje	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 LLWWL
- KHL Sisak
Alps Hockey League
18.02.25	Sisak - Unterland Cavaliers	4:1 ✺
15.02.25	Unterland Cavaliers - Sisak	1:4 ✺
11.02.25	Sisak - Celje	4:5 ✺
01.02.25	Sisak - Ritten-Renon	3:0 ✺
30.01.25	Vipiteno - Sisak	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
11.02.25	Sisak - Celje	4:5
23.01.25	Sisak - Celje	4:1
02.01.25	Sisak - Celje	4:3
05.12.24	Celje - Sisak	1:5

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