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Current Win Probability
Chur 38.2%
Draw 22.6%
Olten 39.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.1%
22.2%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
24%
36.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Olten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chur than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olten than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Chur - Olten Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
38. Neckar M. (G)
45. Brodecky D. (G)
81. Bartholet D.
34. Kurt J.
64. Weber S.
63. Janett G.
62. Aeschlimann M.
38. Asselin G.
15. Dahler R. (C)
8. Hawryluk J.
11. Wyss L.
91. Horansky S.
Line 2
2. Baer S.
5. Bichsel F.
8. Cantin N.
93. Wyss S.
89. Rentsch N.
73. Riatsch F.
9. Melnalksnis R.
11. Weder D.
87. Jenni T.
96. Von Rohr M.
Line 3
77. Despont V.
4. Naglis R.
73. Winter K.
55. Pastori M.
86. Pekar M.
28. Braillard L.
84. Canova J.
12. Reinhard M.
47. Brunner P.
78. Grossniklaus J.
Line 4
21. Guggenheim B.
98. Sturny J.
22. Frei L.
7. Tormanen A.
37. Bont K.
17. Moser L.
18. Hammerer G.
13. Obrist P. (C)
19. Kaser G.
Substitutes
88. Berri F.
29. Lachat P. (G)
51. Brun A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 3)
00:37, 0 - 1, Kurt J. (G),
02:04, 1 - 1, Bont K. (G),
03:31, 1 - 2, Naglis R. (G), Moser L. (A), Pastori M. (A2)
17:41, 1 - 3, Kaser G. (G), Moser L. (A), Obrist P. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 5)
05:06, 1 - 4, Von Rohr M. (G),
12:39, 1 - 5, Riatsch F. (G), Weder D. (A),
13:58, 1 - 6, Asselin G. (G), Horansky S. (A), Janett G. (A2)
14:04, 2 - 6, Jenni T. (G),
14:45, 2 - 7, Braillard L. (G),
18:18, 2 - 8, Braillard L. (G), Horansky S. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
13:22, 2 - 9, Asselin G. (G), Horansky S. (A),
13:39, 3 - 9, Frei L. (G),
18:45, 4 - 9, Berri F. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chur won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Olten could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Chur has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:34 (averaging 2.6:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chur against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 23:18 goals (averaging 3.3:2.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
5
Chur
7
3
0
1
3
24:23
10
10
Olten
6
1
0
0
5
22:35
3
Last Results with these Odds
Olten - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.72%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.