Match Info

Erste Liga

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Debreceni Jegcsarnok (Debrecen)


	DEAC Debrecen		Újpest

	1	X	2
	1.74	4.25	3.4
	1.67	4.32	3.2
	1.72	4.7	3.42
	1.72	4.25	3.55
	1.71	4.25	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.02)	4.35 ↑ (3.95)	3.37 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

DEAC Debrecen
52.6%

Draw
20.7%

Újpest
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

22.8%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

23.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

DEAC Debrecen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in DEAC Debrecen's performance.

Újpest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Újpest might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for DEAC Debrecen than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with DEAC Debrecen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Újpest than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

DEAC Debrecen - Újpest Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
56. Hetenyi Z. (G)	39. Rajna M. (G)
52. Martonffy M.	6. Ingman J.
23. Ustinenko N. (A)	4. Ronkainen T.
77. Askarov M.	9. Szalma Z.
47. Galoha K. (A)	75. Golod M.
11. Mozer Y.	81. Kiss P. (A)
Line 2
34. Bukor R.	61. Bogesic V.
76. Eliseev T.	2. Franyo K.
87. Krutov K.	88. Luciani A. (A)
12. Shenfeld A.	90. Thompson B.
71. Varttinen M.	8. Kovacs A.
Line 3
41. Dobmayer D.	28. Osztoics M.
6. Haranghy B.	97. Pokornyi D. (C)
13. Kuleshov V.	43. Loczi B.
29. Kreisz B. (C)	24. Szabo Racz M.
10. Zeteny M.	77. Burzan L.
Line 4
22. Kiss P.	70. Rapos G.
78. Kovacs A.	16. Paterka B.
	22. Kovacs S.
Substitutes
74. Szeles M. (G)	83. Varadi A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
07:06, 1 - 0, Galoha K. (G), Askarov M. (A), Ustinenko N. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 3)
00:42, 1 - 1, Ronkainen T. (G), Luciani A. (A), Kovacs A. (A2)
05:21, 2 - 1, Krutov K. (G),
09:39, 2 - 2, Pokornyi D. (G), Szalma Z. (A), Kiss P. (A2)
17:12, 2 - 3, Kovacs A. (G), Luciani A. (A), Pokornyi D. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
02:07, 3 - 3, Galoha K. (G), Askarov M. (A), Kreisz B. (A2)
11:27, 4 - 3, Galoha K. (G), Mozer Y. (A), Varttinen M. (A2)
16:32, 4 - 4, Luciani A. (G), Golod M. (A),
Overtime (1 - 0)
01:25, 5 - 4, Galoha K. (G),

Preview

DEAC is Qualified for Erste Liga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Újpest is Qualified for Erste Liga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, DEAC won 1.

DEAC is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Újpest's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

DEAC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Újpest has had a series of away games.

DEAC will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, DEAC won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 69:63. (average 3.5:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, DEAC won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 44:31. (average 4.4:3.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Ujpest	8	5	0	0	3	38:21	15
6	DEAC	7	4	0	1	2	20:18	13

Last Results with these Odds

DEAC Debrecen - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 44.66%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- DEAC Debrecen Hockey
Hungarian Erste Liga Hockey
25.01.26	Corona Brașov - DEAC Debrecen	6:4 ✺
23.01.26	Gyergyói - DEAC Debrecen	4:3 ✺
18.01.26	DEAC Debrecen - Újpest	1:3 ✺
16.01.26	Feha19 - DEAC Debrecen	5:4 ✺
11.01.26	DEAC Debrecen - Budapest Jégkorong Akadémia	5:6 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Újpesti TE
Hungarian Erste Liga Hockey
25.01.26	Dunaújvárosi Acélbikák - Újpest	6:4 ✺
18.01.26	DEAC Debrecen - Újpest	1:3 ✺
16.01.26	Újpest - DVTK Jegesmedvék	5:4 OT ✺
11.01.26	Corona Brașov - Újpest	5:2 ✺
09.01.26	Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc - Újpest	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian Erste Liga Hockey
18.01.26	DEAC Debrecen - Újpest	1:3
26.12.25	Újpest - DEAC Debrecen	3:1
26.09.25	Újpest - DEAC Debrecen	4:3 penalties
24.01.25	Újpest - DEAC Debrecen	4:3
26.12.24	DEAC Debrecen - Újpest	6:2
15.11.24	DEAC Debrecen - Újpest	4:7
04.10.24	Újpest - DEAC Debrecen	1:3

DEAC Debrecen - Újpest: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide