The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Diables Rouges de Valenciennes 29.6%
Draw 19%
Neuilly-sur-Marne 51.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.6%
18.7%
45.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.7%
18.2%
47.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Diables Rouges de Valenciennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Diables Rouges de Valenciennes's form might have worsened.
Neuilly-sur-Marne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neuilly-sur-Marne's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diables Rouges de Valenciennes than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diables Rouges de Valenciennes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neuilly-sur-Marne than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
2nd Period (2 - 3)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
Preview
Valenciennes has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Neuilly-sur-Marne is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Valenciennes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Neuilly-sur-Marne has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Valenciennes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 1.5:4.5).
Including home match between the teams, Valenciennes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
Watch
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