Match Info

NMHL

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Dizelist Penza		Krasnodar

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.55	4.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.57)	4.55 ↑ (4.4)	4.29 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dizelist Penza
58.8%

Draw
20%

Krasnodar
21.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.9%

20.7%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

20%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dizelist Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dizelist Penza than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Dizelist Penza - Krasnodar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
10:49, 0 - 1, Grishin S. (G), Mindubayev R. (A),
14:42, 1 - 1, Yamaletdinov R. (G), Erkaev I. (A), Zvyozdochkin D. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (1 - 0)
00:35, 2 - 1, Gafarov G. (G), Moskvin K. (A), Larichev V. (A2)

Preview

Dizelist is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Gvardiya has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gvardiya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Dizelist is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dizelist won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:12. (average 3.8:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Dizelist won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 3.7:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dizelist Penza
RHL
16.12.25	Dizelist Penza - Krasnodar	4:3 OT ✺
13.12.25	Dizelist Penza - Belgorod	3:0 ✺
12.12.25	Dizelist Penza - Belgorod	5:1 ✺
01.12.25	Bobrov - Dizelist Penza	6:2 ✺
30.11.25	Bobrov - Dizelist Penza	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWLW
- HC Krasnodar
RHL
16.12.25	Dizelist Penza - Krasnodar	4:3 OT ✺
04.12.25	Krasnodar - Belgorod	2:1 OT ✺
03.12.25	Krasnodar - Belgorod	2:1 ✺
01.12.25	Belgorod - Krasnodar	6:4 ✺
30.11.25	Belgorod - Krasnodar	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
16.12.25	Dizelist Penza - Krasnodar	4:3 OT
18.03.25	Krasnodar - Dizelist Penza	0:4
17.03.25	Krasnodar - Dizelist Penza	3:4 penalties
10.10.24	Dizelist Penza - Krasnodar	1:4
09.10.24	Dizelist Penza - Krasnodar	6:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Krasnodar
RHL
29.10.26	Krasnodar - Kristall Saratov	✺

Dizelist Penza - Krasnodar