Match Info

SWEDEN: HockeyAllsvenskan

Date: 14 February 2025, Friday

Location: Hovet (Stockholm)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3


	Djurgården		Västerås

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.5	7
	1.34	5.74	7.46
	1.28	5.04	6.35
	1.35	5.46	6.95
	1.3	5	6.5
	1.34	5.6	6.62	Watch
	1.34	5.74	7.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.43)	5.44 ↑ (5)	6.91 ↑ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Djurgården
69.7%

Draw
17%

Västerås
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

18.7%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

19.1%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Djurgården has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Västerås has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Djurgården than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Djurgården that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Västerås than the current prediction. (+3%)

Djurgården - Västerås Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Havelid H. (G)	1. Engstrand C. (G)
43. Krogdahl M.	3. Folin N. (A)
82. Sissons C.	10. Jansson J.
86. Klasen L.	67. Komarek K. (C)
32. Kruger M. (C)	46. Sjodin S.
15. Eriksson F.	15. Hayhurst J.
Line 2
20. Tychonick J.	65. Fransen N.
6. Havelid M.	21. Malmstrom H.
42. Bjorck V.	16. Wolf N.
40. Costmar A.	19. Johansson A.
41. Thoresen P. (A)	61. Sjogren M.
Line 3
3. Berg A.	36. Norberg O.
10. Ragnarsson J.	28. Sjostrom E.
38. Eklund V.	72. Grasso P.
26. Weigel F.	92. Rosdahl K. (A)
14. Frondell A.	27. Jakobsson C.
Line 4
45. Blixt H.	24. Kant J.
67. Wersall M.	73. Gradin A.
24. Rensfeldt L. (A)	76. Kvist O.
46. Grewe A.	29. Engstrand E.
Substitutes
31. Andren V. (G)	22. Berger C.
34. Brodin D.	31. Moller A. (G)
	40. Simeoni D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
09:46, 1 - 0, Costmar A. (G), Frondell A. (A), Havelid M. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
04:11, 2 - 0, Berg A. (G), Klasen L. (A), Kruger M. (A2)
09:08, 2 - 1, Grasso P. (G),
13:39, 3 - 1, Eklund V. (G), Thoresen P. (A), Sissons C. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
05:03, 4 - 1, Weigel F. (G), Tychonick J. (A), Frondell A. (A2)
06:16, 5 - 1, Bjorck V. (G), Thoresen P. (A), Costmar A. (A2)
08:03, 6 - 1, Frondell A. (G), Eklund V. (A), Havelid M. (A2)

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Djurgården won 5.

Djurgården is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Västerås is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Djurgården could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Djurgården have a series of guest games.

In this match Djurgården is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Djurgården to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Djurgården won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 60:43 (average 3:2.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Djurgården won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 31:23 (average 3.4:2.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Djurgardens IF Hockey
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
12.02.25	AIK - Djurgården	8:4 ✺
01.02.25	BIK Karlskoga - Djurgården	3:4 OT ✺
31.01.25	Vimmerby - Djurgården	1:6 ✺
27.01.25	Djurgården - Björklöven	5:2 ✺
24.01.25	Björklöven - Djurgården	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWWWW
- Västerås HK
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
12.02.25	Almtuna IS - Västerås	4:3 ✺
07.02.25	Västerås - Oskarshamn	2:4 ✺
31.01.25	Västerås - Kalmar	2:3 OT ✺
29.01.25	Östersund - Västerås	3:5 ✺
24.01.25	Västerås - AIK	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
17.01.25	Västerås - Djurgården	0:1
20.11.24	Djurgården - Västerås	5:1
27.09.24	Västerås - Djurgården	4:5
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
14.08.24	Västerås - Djurgården	2:3
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
02.03.24	Västerås - Djurgården	2:3 penalties
31.01.24	Djurgården - Västerås	3:2
01.12.23	Västerås - Djurgården	3:7

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