The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dukla Michalovce 40.9%
Draw 22.3%
Banská Bystrica 36.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.1%
21.6%
41.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.9%
23.3%
36.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dukla Michalovce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Banská Bystrica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dukla Michalovce than the current prediction. (-1%)
The ML Model estimate for Banská Bystrica aligns with the current prediction.
Dukla Michalovce - Banská Bystrica Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
33. Durny R. (G)
80. Lackovic J. (G)
7. Rees H.
75. Michalcin C.
59. Welsh C.
54. Cesanek B.
27. Edmonds L.
55. Valach M.
90. Boucher M.
42. Ticar R.
22. Virtanen J.
9. Faith R.
Line 2
55. Stripai A.
27. Fereta S.
44. Melisko J.
6. Zabka B.
10. Matta I.
86. Loshing Y.
91. Kytnar M.
97. Gron S.
89. Safaraleyev I.
22. Soltes D.
Line 3
4. Bindulis K.
77. Kubka B.
5. Zekucia A.
36. Kadyrov D.
88. Fominykh D.
21. Matousek T.
80. Smida S.
24. Zigo T.
92. Simun E.
72. Kabac M.
Line 4
14. Kiss D.
19. Gaso A.
21. Sechny R.
81. Patlevic A.
13. Stahon L.
67. Varga A.
23. Tomka L.
14. Jendek D.
Substitutes
35. Glosar V. (G)
1. Gajan M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
05:19, 1 - 0, Rees H. (G), Safaraleyev I. (A), Fominykh D. (A2)
19:42, 2 - 0, Kytnar M. (G), Safaraleyev I. (A), Stripai A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
03:49, 2 - 1, Ticar R. (G), Faith R. (A), Valach M. (A2)
13:07, 3 - 1, Sechny R. (G), Fominykh D. (A), Welsh C. (A2)
17:50, 3 - 2, Soltes D. (G), Michalcin C. (A), Zigo T. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 10th in the Promotion - Tipsport liga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 6th in the Promotion - Tipsport liga Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Michalovce won 3.
Michalovce has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Banská Bystrica shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Recently, Banská Bystrica has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Michalovce has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 55:61 (averaging 2.8:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Michalovce against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 25:27 goals (averaging 2.5:2.7 per game).