The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dusseldorfer EG 64.6%
Draw 18.3%
EHC Freiburg 17.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
63.5%
19.3%
17.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.9%
20.7%
18.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dusseldorfer EG has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
The chances for EHC Freiburg have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dusseldorfer EG than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for EHC Freiburg than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Dusseldorfer EG - EHC Freiburg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Line 1
27. Lunemann N. (G)
35. Schmidt O. (G)
63. Faber M.
27. Plouffe D.
8. Blumenschein K.
86. De Los Rios A.
98. Turnbull C.
20. McCallum L.
81. Mackin C.
9. Linsenmaier N.
24. Herrmann F.
89. Muhlbauer L.
Line 2
4. Bodnarchuk A.
55. Wirth M.
58. Balinson M.
95. Kuhnhauser K.
91. Hirano Y.
93. Bowles P.
22. Bradford E.
98. Gallant C.
20. Jarvelainen V.
12. Dopfner A.
Line 3
47. Konze C.
19. Sezemsky T.
25. Hammond T.
11. Gnyp S.
71. O'Donnell S.
81. Billich C.
45. Bast J.
21. Kiefersauer C.
17. Niederberger L.
23. Bechtold P.
Line 4
7. Hense M.
24. Leitner M.
11. Pischoff M.
68. Ludwig F.
15. Munzenberger N.
15. Steinhauser L.
3. Holzhausen L.
17. Khaidarov A.
Substitutes
30. Vollmeier M. (G)
76. Goss C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 1)
01:52, 1 - 0, Bast J. (G), Konze C. (A), O'Donnell S. (A2)
04:04, 2 - 0, Bodnarchuk A. (G), Bradford E. (A),
07:26, 2 - 1, Billich C. (G), Kiefersauer C. (A), Steinhauser L. (A2)
17:52, 3 - 1, Jarvelainen V. (G), Hirano Y. (A), Faber M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
11:50, 4 - 1, Turnbull C. (G), Balinson M. (A),
15:22, 4 - 2, Sezemsky T. (G), Dopfner A. (A), De Los Rios A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
14:30, 4 - 3, Plouffe D. (G), De Los Rios A. (A), Linsenmaier N. (A2)
18:29, 5 - 3, Mackin C. (G), Bradford E. (A), Turnbull C. (A2)
Preview
Dusseldorf arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Freiburg has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Bookmakers give the edge to Dusseldorf for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for Dusseldorf in today's match, at odds of 1.41.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Dusseldorf has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 17:13 (averaging 3.4:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dusseldorf against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:6 goals (averaging 2.3:2 per game).