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Current Win Probability
EHC Freiburg 45.6%
Draw 22.2%
Crimmitschau 32.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.9%
22.3%
32.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.4%
26%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EHC Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Crimmitschau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for EHC Freiburg than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for EHC Freiburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crimmitschau than the current prediction. (-4%)
EHC Freiburg - Crimmitschau Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
40. Hegmann F. (G)
20. Schneider Ch. (G)
95. Kuhnhauser K.
55. Kreutzer G.
7. Ventela S.
42. Fuchs F.
89. Muhlbauer L.
23. McGauley T.
28. Weyrauch T.
89. Streu S.
71. O'Donnell S.
22. Lutz T.
Line 2
8. Schlenker C.
77. Vladelchtchikov A.
86. De Los Rios A.
7. McCormick A.
20. McCallum L.
84. Brune L.
57. Kretschmann C.
75. Shevyrin D.
13. Ilestedt F.
29. Kuhnekath P.
Line 3
97. Berry S.
12. Schmidt A.
27. Trinkberger D.
15. Olleff O.
81. Billich C.
45. Corbeil B.
21. Ewanyk T.
81. Mackin C.
91. Schwamberger T.
88. Wruck D.
Line 4
61. Hempel N.
76. Busing J.
23. Bechtold P.
11. Michel T.
98. Kiefersauer C.
27. Schmid J.
44. Majher L.
Substitutes
64. Cerveny P. (G)
30. Werner T. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
17:16, 1 - 0, Billich C. (G), Trinkberger D. (A), Ewanyk T. (A2)
18:34, 1 - 1, Streu S. (G), Lutz T. (A), Brune L. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
09:21, 2 - 1, O'Donnell S. (G), Ventela S. (A), Muhlbauer L. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
12:08, 2 - 2, Michel T. (G), Corbeil B. (A), Olleff O. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
04:48, 3 - 2, McCallum L. (G),
Preview
Freiburg is DEL2 (Play Out )
Crimmitschau is Qualified for DEL2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 2.
Recent form of Freiburg has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Crimmitschau has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Freiburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 51:51. (average 2.6:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:21. (average 3:2.1).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
6
Crimmitschau
7
4
0
0
3
23:18
12
12
Freiburg
7
1
1
2
3
12:19
7
Last Results with these Odds
Crimmitschau - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 32.81%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.