Match Info

DEL2 - Round 37

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Echte Helden Arena (Freiburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Sportdeuschland


	EHC Freiburg		Regensburg

	1	X	2
	3	4.3	1.9
	3.05	3.95	1.91
	3.38	3.9	1.93	Watch
	3.09	3.9	1.93
	3.05	3.85	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.79)	3.98 ↓ (4.02)	1.91 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EHC Freiburg
29.3%

Draw
22.9%

Regensburg
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

23.1%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

24.6%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EHC Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Regensburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EHC Freiburg than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for EHC Freiburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Regensburg than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Regensburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

EHC Freiburg - Regensburg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Regensburg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Regensburg will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
64. Cerveny P. (G)	34. Fiedler K. (G)
95. Kuhnhauser K.	8. Naud G.
7. Ventela S.	28. Giles S.
89. Muhlbauer L.	9. Kindopp B.
9. Linsenmaier N.	7. Berardinelli A.
13. Ilestedt F.	93. Morley D.
Line 2
86. De Los Rios A.	92. Demetz P.
8. Schlenker C.	16. Zerressen P.
91. Schwamberger T.	97. Bracco J.
71. O'Donnell S.	17. Payeur S.
84. Elo E.	81. Slezak K.
Line 3
77. Heider P.	55. Weber J.
27. Trinkberger D.	18. Merkl M.
23. Bechtold P.	19. Ontl C.
21. Ewanyk T.	77. Peter D.
57. Kretschmann C.	36. Preto P.
Line 4
61. Hempel N.	11. Bauer M.
44. Majher L.	22. Grimm Y.
68. Ludwig F.	69. Gajovsky N.
	21. Angaran A.
Substitutes
40. Hegmann F. (G)	49. Danielsmeier C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
00:24, 1 - 0, Muhlbauer L. (G), Linsenmaier N. (A), Kuhnhauser K. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
01:26, 2 - 0, Ilestedt F. (G), Elo E. (A),
02:42, 2 - 1, Payeur S. (G), Bracco J. (A), Slezak K. (A2)
18:19, 3 - 1, Ilestedt F. (G), Heider P. (A),
19:14, 4 - 1, Ilestedt F. (G), Cerveny P. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 3.

Freiburg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Regensburg is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Regensburg will win today's game, with odds of 2.09.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 42:52. (average 3:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 3.4:3.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Regensburg	7	4	0	2	1	24:18	14
12	Freiburg	7	1	1	2	3	12:19	7

Last Results with these Odds

EHC Freiburg - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33.29%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EHC Freiburg
German DEL2
18.01.26	EHC Freiburg - Starbulls Rosenheim	1:3 ✺
16.01.26	Krefeld Pinguine - EHC Freiburg	6:1 ✺
11.01.26	Kassel Huskies - EHC Freiburg	5:1 ✺
09.01.26	EHC Freiburg - Lausitzer Füchse	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Rote Teufel Bad Nauheim - EHC Freiburg	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL
- EV Regensburg
German DEL2
18.01.26	Regensburg - Kaufbeuren	4:3 OT ✺
16.01.26	Weiden - Regensburg	2:3 ✺
11.01.26	Crimmitschau - Regensburg	2:3 OT ✺
09.01.26	Regensburg - Bietigheim-Bissingen	5:1 ✺
04.01.26	Regensburg - Lausitzer Füchse	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German DEL2
14.12.25	Regensburg - EHC Freiburg	1:3
26.10.25	EHC Freiburg - Regensburg	2:6
16.02.25	EHC Freiburg - Regensburg	5:4
12.01.25	Regensburg - EHC Freiburg	6:4
22.11.24	EHC Freiburg - Regensburg	3:0
11.10.24	Regensburg - EHC Freiburg	4:3
19.01.24	Regensburg - EHC Freiburg	4:3

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