Match Info

Championship

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Ice Palace (Pavlodar)


	Ertis Pavlodar		Aktobe

	1	X	2
	11	8.65	1.12
	20	8.7	1.08	Watch
	19	10	1.07
	14	11.2	1.06
	16.25	8.75	1.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	16.05 ↓ (20)	9.46 ↑ (8.7)	1.08 (1.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ertis Pavlodar
5.7%

Draw
9.6%

Aktobe
84.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

4.6%

10.5%

84.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ertis Pavlodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Aktobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kakenov R. (G)	50. Dubovich M. (G)
7. Akpirganov A. (A)	77. Aipov G.
44. Antselm B. (C)	42. Alexandrov S. (C)
80. Artemyev M.	98. Astrakhantsev G.
3. Buyalsky A.	10. Bazanov M.
9. Gizatulin A.	76. Gerasimov Y.
29. Guly M.	86. Kalinichenko M.
57. Ikonnikov V.	24. Khomenko Y.
12. Indyukov K.	4. Kiselyov D. (A)
15. Kladov V.	8. Komarov V. (A)
13. Larikov A.	7. Kozorez A.
28. Ligay N.	21. Kursakbayev R.
19. Maltsev N.	71. Makhamadeev D.
47. Pidyashov D.	17. Omelkovets D.
81. Smelov N.	97. Plotnikov V.
14. Sokolov N.	66. Polenov M.
10. Tashimov D.	14. Shpak A.
55. Yevloyev A. (A)	74. Tribunsky K.
95. Zavyalov M.	23. Zakharov Z.
	15. Zizevskikh V.
Substitutes
30. Chelaidyuk S. (G)	31. Kostyukov I. (G)
40. Koval A. (G)	90. Sharipov A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 4)
05:57, 0 - 1, Khomenko Y. (G), Gerasimov Y. (A), Kozorez A. (A2)
10:21, 0 - 2, Aipov G. (G), Bazanov M. (A), Khomenko Y. (A2)
11:06, 0 - 3, Plotnikov V. (G), Alexandrov S. (A), Zakharov Z. (A2)
17:48, 0 - 4, Bazanov M. (G), Khomenko Y. (A), Kiselyov D. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
14:46, 0 - 5, Zakharov Z. (G),
18:45, 0 - 6, Kalinichenko M. (G), Zakharov Z. (A), Plotnikov V. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ertis won 0.

Ertis is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Aktobe is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, Ertis has faced a series of away games on the road.

The betting markets point to Aktobe as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ertis has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 18 losses, with a goal aggregate of 49:96 (averaging 2.5:4.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ertis against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with 30:54 goals (averaging 2.5:4.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
9	Aktobe	17	3	0	1	13	43:82	7
10	Pavlodar	18	0	0	1	17	19:140	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Ertis Pavlodar
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
07.10.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Aktobe	2:5 ✺
02.10.26	Saryarka - Ertis Pavlodar	9:0 ✺
01.10.26	Saryarka - Ertis Pavlodar	8:0 ✺
28.09.26	Arlan Kokshetau - Ertis Pavlodar	5:3 ✺
27.09.26	Arlan Kokshetau - Ertis Pavlodar	11:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- HK Aktobe
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
07.10.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Aktobe	2:5 ✺
03.10.26	Gornyak Rudny - Aktobe	7:1 ✺
02.10.26	Gornyak Rudny - Aktobe	3:1 ✺
28.09.26	Aktobe - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	2:6 ✺
27.09.26	Aktobe - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	1:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
07.10.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Aktobe	2:5
19.12.25	Ertis Pavlodar - Aktobe	0:1
18.12.25	Ertis Pavlodar - Aktobe	3:6
24.10.25	Aktobe - Ertis Pavlodar	1:0
07.01.25	Ertis Pavlodar - Aktobe	2:4
06.01.25	Ertis Pavlodar - Aktobe	3:6
20.09.24	Aktobe - Ertis Pavlodar	5:4

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