The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aktobe 26%
Draw 20.5%
Beibarys Atyrau 53.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.4%
20.4%
53.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.1%
20%
51.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aktobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Beibarys Atyrau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beibarys Atyrau than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Aktobe - Beibarys Atyrau Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Kostyukov I. (G)
90. Shefer R. (G)
77. Aipov G.
70. Ananichev Ar.
42. Alexandrov S.
14. Asukhanov Y.
98. Astrakhantsev G.
25. Avdeyenko A.
10. Bazanov M.
33. Bilimbayev D.
76. Gerasimov Y.
94. Dorofeyev Y.
86. Kalinichenko M.
10. Gasnikov E.
24. Khomenko Y.
13. Guseinov I.
4. Kiselyov D.
57. Gusseinov M.
8. Komarov V.
74. Kandakov D.
7. Kozorez A.
8. Kovalenko R.
21. Kursakbayev R.
23. Kovzalov I.
71. Makhamadeev D.
27. Krutenkov A.
97. Plotnikov V.
77. Pak K.
66. Polenov M.
95. Savvin R.
92. Stepanov M.
9. Shishov A.
74. Tribunsky K.
97. Tkachyov V.
87. Tsikhotsky D.
55. Vanin D.
23. Zakharov Z.
18. Yerkinov D.
15. Zizevskikh V.
17. Yudin K.
Substitutes
50. Dubovich M. (G)
98. Baydek A. (G)
90. Sharipov A. (G)
50. Mikushin A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
02:51, 1 - 0, Kozorez A. (G),
17:13, 1 - 1, Kandakov D. (G), Avdeyenko A. (A), Gusseinov M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
13:06, 2 - 1, Bazanov M. (G), Zakharov Z. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 1.
In recent outings, Aktobe has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Beibarys is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Aktobe has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Beibarys has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Beibarys carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Aktobe in today's match, at odds of 3.47.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Aktobe has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 51:59 (averaging 2.6:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Aktobe against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 34:42 goals (averaging 2.8:3.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
8
Beibarys Atyrau
25
4
1
2
18
48:85
12
9
Aktobe
25
5
0
1
19
62:113
11
Last Results with these Odds
Aktobe - the odds 3.44 are the expected chance of winning is 26.44%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.