Match Info

SHL

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Löfbergs Arena (Karlstad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Färjestad		Skellefteå

	1	X	2
	2.15	4.3	2.9	Watch
	2.22	4.13	2.77
	2.11	4.24	2.82	Watch
	2.15	3.9	2.7
	2.21	4.05	2.76	Watch
	2.2	4.25	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 (2.17)	4.15 ↓ (4.18)	2.78 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Färjestad
43.3%

Draw
22.7%

Skellefteå
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

22.3%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

22.1%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Färjestad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Skellefteå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Färjestad aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skellefteå than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Färjestad - Skellefteå Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Färjestad will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Thelin M. (G)	38. Mann S. (G)
3. Knot R.	25. Johansson P.
48. Roos F.	52. Lundberg A.
22. Aslund P.	12. Lindberg V.
96. Tomasek D.	33. Forsfjall Z.
11. Nygard J. (A)	27. Vuollet O.
Line 2
32. Nygren M. (A)	64. Pudas J. (C)
27. Carlsson G.	3. Grahn V.
29. Steen O.	29. Aagaard M.
13. Kellman J.	24. Lindberg O.
98. Studenic M.	96. Hugg R. (A)
Line 3
73. Mattsson A.	43. Krogdahl M.
7. Bergkvist A.	57. Djuse E.
39. Philp L.	14. Johnson A.
59. Johansson L. (C)	17. Lindholm P. (A)
71. Lodin V.	8. Okuliar O.
Line 4
6. Wikman A.	4. Bergqvist R.
92. Forsell L.	71. Davidsson J.
12. Jansson C.	22. Johnson J.
28. Alba E.	9. Stjernborg V.
Substitutes
36. Johansson W.	18. Klingsell V.
33. Larmi E. (G)	31. Lampinen J. (G)
	1. Ringquist A. (G)
Coaches
. Jonsson J.	. Hermansson D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
06:14, 1 - 0, Tomasek D. (G),
11:52, 1 - 1, Pudas J. (G), Okuliar O. (A), Johnson A. (A2)
12:19, 2 - 1, Nygard J. (G), Tomasek D. (A), Mattsson A. (A2)
14:53, Johnson J. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 3)
05:33, Steen O. (2 min),
06:43, 2 - 2, Hugg R. (G), Aagaard M. (A), Pudas J. (A2)
08:17, Alba E. (5 min),
08:17, Krogdahl M. (5 min),
12:45, 2 - 3, Davidsson J. (G), Johnson J. (A), Vuollet O. (A2)
13:42, Kellman J. (2 min),
15:15, 2 - 4, Pudas J. (G), Aagaard M. (A), Lindberg O. (A2)
16:11, Lindberg V. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
01:02, Bergkvist A. (2 min),
01:02, Johnson A. (2 min),
03:14, 2 - 5, Lindholm P. (G), Pudas J. (A), Grahn V. (A2)
05:19, Pudas J. (2 min),
13:57, 2 - 6, Okuliar O. (G), Lindholm P. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Färjestad won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Färjestad will win today's game, with odds of 2.28.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Färjestad won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 55:59. (average 2.8:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Färjestad won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 2.3:3).

Outrights of SHL for now

Skelleftea: 19.61% Farjestad: 15.94%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Farjestad	7	6	0	1	0	28:6	19
4	Skelleftea	7	3	1	1	2	25:19	12

Last Results with these Odds

Färjestad - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 43%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farjestads BK
SHL
30.12.25	Frölunda - Färjestad	5:3 ✺
28.12.25	Leksand - Färjestad	1:2 OT ✺
26.12.25	Färjestad - Linköping	3:2 penalties ✺
20.12.25	Färjestad - Rögle	1:2 ✺
18.12.25	Färjestad - Örebro	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLW
- Skellefteå AIK
SHL
30.12.25	Skellefteå - Brynäs	3:1 ✺
28.12.25	Skellefteå - Djurgården	2:3 penalties ✺
26.12.25	Luleå - Skellefteå	3:2 OT ✺
20.12.25	Skellefteå - Linköping	4:5 penalties ✺
18.12.25	Timrå - Skellefteå	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

SHL
23.10.25	Färjestad - Skellefteå	3:2 penalties
18.09.25	Skellefteå - Färjestad	2:5
31.03.25	Skellefteå - Färjestad	2:1 OT
29.03.25	Färjestad - Skellefteå	2:1
27.03.25	Skellefteå - Färjestad	6:2
25.03.25	Skellefteå - Färjestad	4:2
23.03.25	Färjestad - Skellefteå	1:4

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