Match Info

SWEDEN: HockeyEttan Vastra - Round 8

Date: 23 October 2024, Wednesday


	Falu		Mjölby

	1	X	2
	2.7	4.15	1.98	Watch
	2.5	4	2.25
	2.5	4.14	2.28
	2.75	4	1.95
	2.55	4.1	2.16
	2.7	4.15	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.7)	4.09 ↓ (4.2)	2.1 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falu
34.7%

Draw
22.2%

Mjölby
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

21.4%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

20.1%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Mjölby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falu than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjölby than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mjölby could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Falu - Mjölby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
17:29, 0 - 1, Pousette A. (G), Eriksson T. (A), Lundman S. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
00:32, 0 - 2, Malmunger W. (G), Rooth E. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 3)
06:28, 0 - 3, Dimtren P. (G),
07:47, 1 - 3, Haglund G. (G), Sandberg F. (A),
16:50, 1 - 4, Lagerqvist W. (G),
19:54, 1 - 5, Rooth E. (G), Lynch C. (A), Lockstrom O. (A2)

Preview

Falu has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mjölby is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Falu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mjölby will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Falu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:7 (average 3:3.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Falu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falu IF
Swedish HockeyEttan Vastra
20.10.24	Grästorps - Falu	6:2 ✺
16.10.24	Borlänge - Falu	5:2 ✺
09.10.24	Falu - Lindlöven	1:4 ✺
06.10.24	Falu - Forshaga	1:3 ✺
29.09.24	Falu - Borås	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Mjölby Hockey
Swedish HockeyEttan Vastra
20.10.24	Mjölby - Lindlöven	3:4 OT ✺
11.10.24	Mjölby - Mariestad BoIS	1:8 ✺
09.10.24	Forshaga - Mjölby	7:0 ✺
06.10.24	Mjölby - Grästorps	4:0 ✺
28.09.24	Tranås - Mjölby	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish HockeyEttan Vastra
15.11.23	Mjölby - Falu	3:4
04.10.23	Falu - Mjölby	2:4

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