Match Info

SWEDEN: HockeyEttan Vastra - Round 18

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday


	Falu		Tranås

	1	X	2
	5.9	4.9	1.35
	5.76	4.85	1.33
	6.49	5.09	1.37	Watch
	5.8	5	1.33
	6.23	5.15	1.36
	5.9	4.9	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.01 ↑ (5.36)	4.98 ↑ (4.9)	1.35 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falu
15%

Draw
18.1%

Tranås
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.1%

18.7%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

18.8%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Tranås has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falu than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranås than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Falu - Tranås Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
15:06, 0 - 1, Gustafsson O. (G), Dietz-Larsen S. (A), Alftberg P. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
09:25, 0 - 2, Johnsson O. (G), Hultberg J. (A), Jonsson K. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
02:29, 0 - 3, Eklof P. (G), Dietz-Larsen S. (A), Gustafsson O. (A2)

Preview

Falu is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tranås is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Falu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tranås is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Tranås to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Falu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:18 (average 1:6).

Including matches at home between the teams Falu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falu IF
Swedish HockeyEttan Vastra
11.12.24	Mjölby - Falu	6:4 ✺
08.12.24	Falu - Grästorps	3:2 ✺
29.11.24	Falu - Borlänge	1:5 ✺
27.11.24	Lindlöven - Falu	4:3 penalties ✺
24.11.24	Forshaga - Falu	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLL
- Tranås AIF
Swedish HockeyEttan Vastra
13.12.24	Tranås - Mariestad BoIS	2:1 ✺
08.12.24	Forshaga - Tranås	2:1 penalties ✺
29.11.24	Dalen - Tranås	2:3 ✺
27.11.24	Tranås - Grästorps	3:2 ✺
22.11.24	Tranås - Borås	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish HockeyEttan Vastra
27.10.24	Tranås - Falu	0:1 penalties
05.11.23	Falu - Tranås	1:8
01.10.23	Tranås - Falu	10:1

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