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Current Win Probability
Fehérvár AV 19 30.9%
Draw 21.6%
Olimpija Ljubljana 47.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.1%
22.4%
39.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.1%
25.4%
34.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fehérvár AV 19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fehérvár AV 19's form might have worsened.
Olimpija Ljubljana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olimpija Ljubljana's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fehérvár AV 19 than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fehérvár AV 19, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olimpija Ljubljana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fehérvár AV 19 - Olimpija Ljubljana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
45. Reijola R. (G)
61. Horak L. (G)
37. Persson V.
43. Brennan T.
6. MacPherson J.
4. McNeill R.
92. Kuralt A. (A)
8. Mahkovec M.
16. Hari J. (A)
14. Jeglic Z. (A)
39. Cheek T.
9. Urbas J. (C)
Line 2
67. Horvath D.
60. Kirichenko C.
43. Zloty B.
74. Halbert N.
34. Terbocs I.
37. Douglas C.
26. Kulmala R.
89. Boychuk Z. (A)
36. Erdely C. (C)
93. Meyer N.
Line 3
5. Stipsicz B.
44. Crnovic A.
21. Falus A.
15. Gregorc B.
47. Ambrus C.
92. Lawrence J.
13. Nemeth K.
11. Quince M.
68. Farkas L.
12. Simsic N.
Line 4
17. Kiss R.
71. Mehle Z.
41. Feher K.
86. Bohinc R.
11. Paterka B.
23. Sodja J.
40. Zeteny M.
10. Bericic M.
13. Pance Z.
Substitutes
30. Halasz B. (G)
33. Us Z. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 3)
04:28, 0 - 1, Meyer N. (G), Douglas C. (A),
05:21, 0 - 2, Meyer N. (G), Boychuk Z. (A),
06:30, 0 - 3, Jeglic Z. (G), Urbas J. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
05:28, 0 - 4, Halbert N. (G), Lawrence J. (A),
11:30, 1 - 4, Farkas L. (G), Nemeth K. (A),
19:57, 2 - 4, Cheek T. (G), MacPherson J. (A), Kuralt A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
15:28, 2 - 5, Bohinc R. (G), Halbert N. (A), Meyer N. (A2)
17:37, 2 - 6, Mahkovec M. (G), Urbas J. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fehérvár won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Fehérvár could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Fehérvár has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Recently, Olimpija has had a run of games away from home.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Fehérvár has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 65:54 (averaging 3.3:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Fehérvár against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 33:24 goals (averaging 3.3:2.4 per game).
Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now
HK Olimpija: 4.19% Fehervar AV19: 3.83%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
5
HK Olimpija
8
4
1
0
3
37:25
14
13
Fehervar AV19
9
2
1
2
4
17:30
10
Last Results with these Odds
Olimpija Ljubljana - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.54%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.