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Current Win Probability
Feltreghiaccio 40.7%
Draw 21.3%
Varese 37.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.6%
21.5%
37.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.4%
22.7%
39.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Feltreghiaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
The chances for Varese have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feltreghiaccio than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+2%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
01:52, 0 - 1, Glasman L. (G), Maekinen W. E. H. (A),
06:33, 1 - 1, Bamber B. (G), Korkiakoski M. (A), Foltin J. (A2)
10:17, 2 - 1, Foltin J. (G), Vignoli M. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
03:30, 3 - 1, Bamber B. (G), Da Forno M. (A),
12:52, 3 - 2, De Toni E. (G), de Nardin E. (A), Glasman L. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
14:00, 3 - 3, De Toni E. (G), Glasman L. (A),
18:49, 3 - 4, Piroso A. (G), Girardi D. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Feltre won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Varese could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Feltre has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:40 (averaging 2.6:4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Feltre against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:19 goals (averaging 3.3:4.8 per game).