Match Info

IHL - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday


	Varese		Alleghe

	1	X	2
	1.91	4.4	2.7
	1.99	4.25	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.89)	4.33 ↓ (5)	2.74 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varese
46.2%

Draw
20.8%

Alleghe
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

18.2%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Alleghe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Varese - Alleghe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
08:28, 1 - 0, Crivellari F. (G), Xamin D. (A), Corrado Mazzacane M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
10:56, 1 - 1, De Toni E. (G), Alexandrov A. (A), De Nardin M. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
10:39, 2 - 1, Borghi M. (G), Schina A. (A), Bastille R. (A2)
17:11, 3 - 1, Borghi M. (G), Terzago T. (A), Maekinen W. E. H. (A2)
19:41, 3 - 2, Alexandrov A. (G),
19:49, 4 - 2, Corrado Mazzacane M. (G), Schina A. (A),

Preview

Series tied 1-1. Third leg.

Varese is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Varese won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 2.8:3.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Varese won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 3.3:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Varese	4	2	0	0	2	16:17	6
6	Alleghe	3	1	0	1	1	12:12	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Varese
Italian IHL
11.02.26	Aosta - Varese	7:4 ✺
22.01.26	Varese - Aosta	3:5 ✺
17.01.26	Varese - Eppan Pirates	6:2 ✺
03.01.26	Varese - Pergine	0:3 ✺
23.12.25	Eppan Pirates - Varese	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWLL
- HC Alleghe
Italian IHL
17.01.26	Alleghe - Aosta	4:5 penalties ✺
03.01.26	Alleghe - Kaltern	6:2 ✺
29.11.25	Varese - Alleghe	2:5 ✺
22.11.25	Falcons Bressanone - Alleghe	3:6 ✺
15.11.25	Valpellice - Alleghe	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian IHL
29.11.25	Varese - Alleghe	2:5
04.10.25	Alleghe - Varese	6:1
06.03.25	Varese - Alleghe	4:1
04.01.24	Varese - Alleghe	4:3

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