Match Info

SWEDEN: HockeyEttan Vastra - Round 18

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday


	Forshaga		Borås

	1	X	2
	2.8	4.25	1.92
	3.12	4.13	1.86
	3.27	4.31	1.85	Watch
	2.9	4.2	1.85
	3.18	4.15	1.87
	2.8	4.25	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.68)	4.22 ↑ (4)	1.88 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forshaga
30.1%

Draw
21.5%

Borås
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

22.9%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

22.4%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forshaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Borås has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Borås's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forshaga than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borås than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Borås, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Forshaga - Borås Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
15:00, 0 - 1, Storm A. (G), Wennstrom W. (A), Bartholdsson K. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
01:17, 1 - 1, Frost L. (G), Soderlund F. (A), Wiklund A. (A2)
02:00, 1 - 2, Samuelsson A. (G), Bryngelsson A. (A), Winckler E. (A2)
04:51, 1 - 3, Andersson J. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
02:16, 1 - 4, Wennstrom W. (G), Bartholdsson K. (A), Reimer V. (A2)
07:43, 1 - 5, Samuelsson A. (G), Laakso T. (A), Bartholdsson K. (A2)
16:55, 2 - 5, Hell H. (G), Frost L. (A), Olsson F. (A2)

Preview

Forshaga is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Borås is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Borås could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Forshaga to win the game is with odds 2.68.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Forshaga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:18 (average 1.6:3.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Forshaga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:6 (average 2.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forshaga IF
Swedish HockeyEttan Vastra
11.12.24	Borlänge - Forshaga	3:5 ✺
08.12.24	Forshaga - Tranås	2:1 penalties ✺
01.12.24	Forshaga - Lindlöven	1:2 ✺
27.11.24	Mjölby - Forshaga	3:4 ✺
24.11.24	Forshaga - Falu	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWW
- Borås HC
Swedish HockeyEttan Vastra
11.12.24	Borås - Lindlöven	3:2 OT ✺
29.11.24	Grästorps - Borås	4:2 ✺
27.11.24	Borås - Dalen	1:2 OT ✺
22.11.24	Tranås - Borås	4:0 ✺
17.11.24	Borås - Falu	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish HockeyEttan Vastra
26.10.24	Borås - Forshaga	5:2
Swedish HockeyEttan Sodra Var
14.02.24	Borås - Forshaga	2:1
14.01.24	Forshaga - Borås	2:4
29.01.23	Forshaga - Borås	3:2 OT
28.12.22	Borås - Forshaga	5:0

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