Match Info

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday


	Färjestad		Luleå

	1	X	2
	1.56	5	4.75	Watch
	1.67	4.40	4.10
	1.62	4.3	4.9
	1.55	4.07	5.16
	1.57	4.27	5	Watch
	1.51	3.95	5.05
	1.57	4.75	4.66	Watch
	1.64	4.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.67)	4.39 ↑ (4.38)	4.7 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Färjestad
58.9%

Draw
21.3%

Luleå
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

21.4%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

21.4%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Färjestad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Luleå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Färjestad than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luleå than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Färjestad - Luleå Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 1st in the Promotion - SHL Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 9th in the Promotion - SHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Färjestad won 3.

Färjestad has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Luleå has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this matchup, Färjestad is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Färjestad in today's match, at odds of 1.68.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Färjestad has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 54:55 (averaging 2.7:2.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Färjestad against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 29:29 goals (averaging 2.9:2.9 per game).

Outrights of SHL for now

Farjestad: 18.64% Lulea: 7.33%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Farjestad	8	7	0	1	0	34:8	22
9	Lulea	8	3	0	1	4	20:26	10

Last Results with these Odds

Färjestad - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farjestads BK
SHL
10.10.26	Färjestad - Malmö Redhawks	6:2 ✺
08.10.26	Skellefteå - Färjestad	1:5 ✺
03.10.26	Färjestad - HV71	3:1 ✺
01.10.26	Djurgården - Färjestad	0:4 ✺
26.09.26	Björklöven - Färjestad	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWW
- Luleå HF
SHL
10.10.26	Luleå - Timrå	2:3 OT ✺
08.10.26	Luleå - Malmö Redhawks	2:3 ✺
03.10.26	Örebro - Luleå	1:4 ✺
01.10.26	Linköping - Luleå	0:2 ✺
29.09.26	Skellefteå - Luleå	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

SHL
14.03.26	Luleå - Färjestad	1:3
22.01.26	Färjestad - Luleå	3:2 penalties
06.12.25	Luleå - Färjestad	2:5
16.10.25	Färjestad - Luleå	3:6
04.03.25	Färjestad - Luleå	1:4
28.12.24	Luleå - Färjestad	3:2 penalties
31.10.24	Färjestad - Luleå	3:4 OT

Färjestad - Luleå: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide