Match Info

SHL - Round 6

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Löfbergs Arena (Karlstad)


	Färjestad		HV71

	1	X	2
	1.42	6	5.5	Watch
	1.50	5.00	5.00
	1.54	4.9	5	Watch
	1.51	4.42	5.54
	1.5	4.9	5.2	Watch
	1.47	4.3	5.4
	1.49	5.1	5.13	Watch
	1.51	4.6	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.54)	4.9 ↑ (4.55)	5.2 ↑ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Färjestad
62.8%

Draw
19.1%

HV71
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

20.5%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

21.9%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Färjestad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

HV71 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Färjestad than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Färjestad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HV71 than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Färjestad - HV71 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Färjestad will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Larmi E. (G)	60. Sandstrom F. (G)
32. Nygren M. (A)	8. Lagerberg L.
73. Mattsson A.	55. Borgman A. (A)
11. Nygard J.	91. Heponiemi A.
15. Berglund J.	28. Kloos J. (A)
22. Aslund P.	84. Regenda P.
Line 2
6. Wikman A.	38. Alsing O. (C)
7. Bergkvist A. (A)	82. Hatakka S.
8. Oby-Olsen M.	41. Woods R.
12. Jansson C.	16. Lindstrom L.
16. Cederle S.	96. Pasic N.
Line 3
48. Roos F.	78. Gustafsson M.
27. Carlsson G.	44. Fransson H.
29. Steen O.	27. Ang J.
59. Johansson L. (C)	81. Mysak J.
23. Eriksen M.	70. Rousek L.
Line 4
41. Pihlstrom M.	5. Blanar V.
71. Lodin V.	71. Nilsson W.
67. Zohorna R.	23. Laz V.
98. Studenic M.	9. Hardman M.
Substitutes
34. Skantz W.	80. Liv H. (G)
35. Thelin M. (G)	40. Stal-Lyrenas O.
18. Trygg L.
Coaches
. Abbott C.	. Eriksson N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
00:58, Pasic N. (2 min),
11:32, Borgman A. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
06:34, Oby-Olsen M. (2 min),
08:05, Wikman A. (2 min),
09:19, Mattsson A. (2 min),
10:30, 0 - 1, Mysak J. (G), Fransson H. (A), Woods R. (A2)
12:00, 1 - 1, Berglund J. (G), Aslund P. (A),
19:59, 2 - 1, Steen O. (G), Roos F. (A), Bergkvist A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:06, 3 - 1, Eriksen M. (G), Steen O. (A),
11:22, Eriksen M. (2 min),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Färjestad won 2.

Färjestad is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

HV71 has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Färjestad could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Färjestad for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for Färjestad in today's match, at odds of 1.52.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Färjestad has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 72:52 (averaging 3.6:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Färjestad against this opponent, the record stands at 10 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 49:22 goals (averaging 4.5:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Farjestad	8	7	0	1	0	34:8	22
11	HV 71	8	1	2	1	4	24:29	8

Last Results with these Odds

Färjestad - the odds 1.54 are the expected chance of winning is 60.55%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farjestads BK
SHL
01.10.26	Djurgården - Färjestad	0:4 ✺
26.09.26	Björklöven - Färjestad	0:5 ✺
24.09.26	Färjestad - Rögle	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Frölunda - Färjestad	3:2 penalties ✺
19.09.26	Färjestad - Örebro	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWLW
- HV71
SHL
01.10.26	HV71 - Örebro	2:1 AET ✺
29.09.26	Björklöven - HV71	4:2 ✺
26.09.26	Växjö Lakers - HV71	7:5 ✺
24.09.26	HV71 - Skellefteå	4:3 OT ✺
19.09.26	HV71 - Malmö Redhawks	4:5 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

SHL
10.03.26	Färjestad - HV71	7:3
15.01.26	HV71 - Färjestad	5:3
20.11.25	Färjestad - HV71	6:1
02.10.25	HV71 - Färjestad	2:0
08.03.25	Färjestad - HV71	2:3
16.01.25	HV71 - Färjestad	3:2
23.11.24	Färjestad - HV71	7:2

Färjestad - HV71: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide