Match Info

SHL - Round 5

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Saab Arena (Linköping)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen


	Linköping		Luleå

	1	X	2
	2.35	4.25	2.55
	2.45	4.00	2.45
	2.60	3.95	2.35	Watch
	2.63	3.57	2.43
	2.45	4	2.45	Watch
	2.60	3.50	2.40
	2.53	4.05	2.36	Watch
	2.47	3.90	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.46)	3.9 ↑ (3.78)	2.42 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linköping
37.3%

Draw
24%

Luleå
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

24.5%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

26.8%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linköping has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Luleå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linköping than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luleå than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Linköping - Luleå Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Luleå will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
36. Ignatjew W. (G)	34. Lassinantti J. (G)
88. Niku S.	27. Laaksonen O. (A)
5. Fantenberg O. (C)	82. Leskinen O.
27. Tuomaala S.	48. Puustinen V.
92. Nybeck Z.	91. O'Neill B. (A)
46. Soderlund T.	6. Hedqvist I.
Line 2
3. Hultstrom L. (A)	26. Sjostrom O.
48. Kokkonen M.	23. Sellgren J. (C)
24. Shinnimin B. (A)	51. Nurmi M.
20. Marody C.	45. Koppanen J.
70. Karlstrom F.	76. Levtchi A.
Line 3
8. Giuttari Z.	39. Sjalin P. (A)
40. Bernhardt D.	32. Engsund O.
29. Krantz L.	17. Brannstrom I.
21. Ehn C. (A)	25. Eriksson F.
13. Vrana J.	86. Brome M.
Line 4
17. Ohrqvist F.
53. Hofbauer A.
23. Johnsson J.
28. Degerstedt A.
Substitutes
63. Hogberg M. (G)	15. Granberg D.
38. Sodergran J.	72. Tardif B.
1. Wilde A. (G)	31. Ward M. (G)
Coaches
. Karlsson A.	. Hall D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
03:49, Nurmi M. (2 min),
17:27, Hofbauer A. (2 min),
18:56, 0 - 1, Eriksson F. (G), Sjostrom O. (A), Puustinen V. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
03:46, Hedqvist I. (2 min),
14:25, Hedqvist I. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:55, 0 - 2, O'Neill B. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Linköping won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Luleå may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Linköping has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 41:52 (averaging 2.1:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Linköping against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 23:21 goals (averaging 2.3:2.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
9	Lulea	8	3	0	1	4	20:26	10
13	Linkoping	6	2	0	1	3	11:18	7

Last Results with these Odds

Linköping - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.68%, but this team recently wins 24% of matches with these odds.

Luleå - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.81%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linkopings HC
SHL
26.09.26	Rögle - Linköping	2:1 OT ✺
22.09.26	Linköping - Brynäs	2:9 ✺
19.09.26	Linköping - Timrå	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
10.09.26	Örebro - Linköping	2:3 penalties ✺
05.09.26	Örebro - Linköping	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWWL
- Luleå HF
SHL
29.09.26	Skellefteå - Luleå	6:1 ✺
26.09.26	Brynäs - Luleå	4:2 ✺
24.09.26	Luleå - Frölunda	3:7 ✺
19.09.26	Luleå - Rögle	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
10.09.26	Brynäs - Luleå	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

SHL
10.03.26	Linköping - Luleå	1:2
24.01.26	Linköping - Luleå	1:2
23.10.25	Luleå - Linköping	4:1
02.10.25	Luleå - Linköping	0:2
11.02.25	Luleå - Linköping	5:2
28.01.25	Linköping - Luleå	2:3
02.11.24	Luleå - Linköping	5:2

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