Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: Löfbergs Arena (Karlstad)

Referee: Wuorenheimo J. (Fin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Sweden	Viaplay


	Färjestad		Red Bull Salzburg

	1	X	2
	1.3	6	6	Watch
	1.3	6.5	6.25
	1.32	6.17	7.65	Watch
	1.3	5.75	6.66
	1.3	5.89	7.71
	1.25	5.8	7.5
	1.29	6.3	7.75	Watch
	1.32	6.17	7.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.32)	6.07 ↓ (6.09)	7.15 ↑ (6.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Färjestad
71.7%

Draw
15.3%

Red Bull Salzburg
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

15.3%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

12.4%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Färjestad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Färjestad than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Färjestad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Färjestad - Red Bull Salzburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Färjestad will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Red Bull Salzburg will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Färjestad: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Lagace M. (G)	35. Tolvanen A. (G)
26. Nystrom J.	24. Murphy R.
75. Groleau J.	22. Robertson D.
96. Tomasek D.	3. Schneider P.
59. Johansson L. (C)	70. Nissner B.
34. Lindqvist M.	5. Raffl T.
Line 2
32. Nygren M. (A)	2. Lewington T.
72. Solberg S.	39. Genoway Ch.
29. Steen O. (A)	26. Hochkofler P.
13. Kellman J.	19. Rowe A.
98. Studenic M.	96. Huber M.
Line 3
52. Tornberg A.	4. Nienhuis N.
7. Bergkvist A.	18. Stapelfeld P.
92. Forsell L.	48. Thaler L.
20. Westfalt M.	21. Bourke T.
16. Ljungkrantz A.	79. Krening P.
Line 4
24. Wahlund J.	67. Wimmer P.
14. Bjorklund H.	43. Sinn P.
36. Johansson W.	16. Auer L.
28. Alba E.	7. Wurzer M.
Substitutes
50. Clara D. (G)	30. Kickert D. (G)
84. Straume Vatne E.	55. Schreier L.
Coaches
. Mitell T.	. David O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
08:59, Raffl T. (2 min),
12:25, Solberg S. (2 min),
17:01, Steen O. (2 min),
17:01, Murphy R. (2 min),
2nd Period (3 - 0)
01:38, 1 - 0, Forsell L. (G),
04:34, Steen O. (2 min),
04:34, Sinn P. (2 min),
04:34, Studenic M. (2 min),
04:34, Thaler L. (2 min),
05:47, 2 - 0, Westfalt M. (G), Tomasek D. (A),
11:57, 3 - 0, Bergkvist A. (G), Steen O. (A),
15:59, Nissner B. (2 min),
3rd Period (3 - 0)
06:33, Ljungkrantz A. (2 min),
08:40, 4 - 0, Ljungkrantz A. (G), Lindqvist M. (A),
09:02, Krening P. (2 min),
09:43, 5 - 0, Tomasek D. (G), Steen O. (A), Lindqvist M. (A2)
16:37, 6 - 0, Steen O. (G),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Red Bull Salzburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Färjestad is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Färjestad won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farjestads BK
SHL
07.12.24	Färjestad - Skellefteå	3:6 ✺
05.12.24	Färjestad - Linköping	2:1 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
03.12.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Färjestad	3:1 ✺
SHL
30.11.24	Leksand - Färjestad	3:4 penalties ✺
28.11.24	Malmö Redhawks - Färjestad	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWW
- HC Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Ice Hockey League
15.12.24	Black Wings Linz - Red Bull Salzburg	3:2 ✺
13.12.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Graz 99ers	3:2 OT ✺
10.12.24	Villacher - Red Bull Salzburg	6:3 ✺
08.12.24	Pioneers Vorarlberg - Red Bull Salzburg	2:6 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
03.12.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Färjestad	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Ice Hockey
03.12.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Färjestad	3:1

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