Match Info

Alps Hockey League - Losers stage

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Pranives (Selva di Val Gardena)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Valcome TV


	Gherdëina		Tigers Bregenzerwald

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.56	4.6	3.9	Watch
	1.55	5.04	3.76
	1.56	5.28	3.9	Watch
	1.5	4.5	4.2
	1.57	4.65	4.09	Watch
	1.55	5	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.83)	4.85 ↑ (4.44)	3.93 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gherdëina
58.4%

Draw
18.7%

Tigers Bregenzerwald
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

20.7%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

22.7%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gherdëina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gherdëina's performance.

Tigers Bregenzerwald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tigers Bregenzerwald might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gherdëina than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gherdëina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigers Bregenzerwald than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tigers Bregenzerwald could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Gherdëina - Tigers Bregenzerwald Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gherdëina (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Gherdëina will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
53. Endre C. (G)	30. Reichhalter C. (G)
4. Senoner J.	65. Wempe L.
43. Guimond S.	42. Kauppila A.
23. Deluca S.	14. Zwerger J.
44. Schiavone D.	64. Rantanen J.
74. Biondi L.	12. Laaksonen T.
Line 2
29. Buono C.	40. Posch B.
5. Linder B.	22. Flick J.
15. Dostalek V.	15. Ranftl F.
28. Moncada L.	71. Kramer N.
22. Pitschieler S.	88. Grasser B.
Line 3
14. Vozovik D.	98. Liesch L.
68. Soracreppa S.	86. Konig D.
17. Luisetti M.	20. Bergstrom T.
93. Castlunger M.	13. Poschmann P.
89. Kasslatter H.	91. Metzler-Wagner T.
Line 4
	18. Brunner S.
	7. Haibock M.
	90. Wohlmuth M.
Substitutes
33. Esposito N.	69. Widhalm L. (G)
19. Moroder S.
71. Rindone M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 1)
06:09, 1 - 0, Buono C. (G), Guimond S. (A), Deluca S. (A2)
09:33, 1 - 1, Laaksonen T. (G),
13:14, 2 - 1, Pitschieler S. (G), Dostalek V. (A),
13:41, 3 - 1, Luisetti M. (G),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
02:29, 4 - 1, Pitschieler S. (G), Moncada L. (A),
06:56, 5 - 1, Buono C. (G), Moncada L. (A), Pitschieler S. (A2)
14:58, 5 - 2, Brunner S. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gherdëina won 3.

Gherdëina has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

EHC Bregenzerwald is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Gherdëina might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Gherdëina will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gherdëina won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 64:55. (average 3.2:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Gherdëina won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 38:20. (average 4.2:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	D	LO	L		Pts
9	Gherdeina	6	1	1	0	1	3	20:21	6

Last Results with these Odds

Tigers Bregenzerwald - the odds 3.17 are the expected chance of winning is 29.02%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Gherdëina
Alps Hockey League
17.02.26	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Gherdëina	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Ritten-Renon - Gherdëina	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Gherdëina - Merano Junior	0:1 ✺
29.01.26	Gherdëina - Unterland Cavaliers	3:2 penalties ✺
24.01.26	Cortina - Gherdëina	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLWL
- HC Tigers Bregenzerwald
Alps Hockey League
17.02.26	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Gherdëina	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Acroni Jesenice - Tigers Bregenzerwald	6:0 ✺
04.02.26	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Ritten-Renon	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Asiago	1:5 ✺
29.01.26	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Tigers Bregenzerwald	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
17.02.26	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Gherdëina	0:2
28.12.25	Gherdëina - Tigers Bregenzerwald	6:4
13.12.25	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Gherdëina	6:2
06.12.25	Gherdëina - Tigers Bregenzerwald	6:3
04.03.25	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Gherdëina	4:3
01.03.25	Gherdëina - Tigers Bregenzerwald	4:1
27.02.25	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Gherdëina	3:1

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